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Exploring the optimal indicator of short-term peridiagnosis weight dynamics to predict cancer survival: A multicentre cohort study

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机构: [1]Department of Clinical Nutrition, Daping Hospital, Army Medical University (Third Military Medical University), Chongqing, China [2]Department of Nephrology, the Key Laboratory for the Prevention and Treatment of Chronic Kidney Disease of Chongqing, Chongqing Clinical Research Center of Kidney and Urology Diseases, Xinqiao Hospital, Army Medical University (Third Military Medical University), Chongqing, China [3]Department of General Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University, Harbin, China [4]Department of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Tangdu Hospital, Air Force Medical University (The Fourth Military Medical University), Xi’an, China [5]Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, China [6]Department of Nutrition, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, China [7]Department of GI Cancer Research Institute, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China [8]Department of Medical Oncology, Fujian Cancer Hospital, Fujian Medical University Cancer Hospital, Fuzhou, China [9]Department of Oncology, The Affiliated Hospital of Zunyi Medical University, Zunyi, China [10]Department of Experimental Surgery, Xijing Hospital, Fourth Military Medical University, Xi’an, China [11]Department of Colorectal and Anus Surgery, Xiangya Hospital of Central South University, Changsha, China [12]Department of Oncology, The People’s Hospital of Dujiangyan, Dujiangyan, China [13]Department of Clinical Nutrition, The First Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China [14]Department of Clinical Nutrition, The Fourth Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University, Harbin, China [15]Department of Oncology, Affiliated Hospital of North Sichuan Medical College, Nanchong, China [16]Department of Clinical Nutrition, The First Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University, Kunming, China [17]Department of Integrated Chinese and Western Medicine, Cancer Hospital of the University of Chinese Academy of Science (Zhejiang Cancer Hospital), Hangzhou, China [18]Cancer Center, The First Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, China [19]Department of Radiation Oncology, Sichuan Cancer Hospital and Institute, Sichuan Cancer Center, School of Medicine, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu, China [20]Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery and Department of Clinical Nutrition, Beijing Shijitan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China [21]Key Laboratory of Cancer FSMP for State Market Regulation, Beijing, China
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关键词: cancer peridiagnosis survival weight change weight gain weight loss

摘要:
Background Body weight and its changes have been associated with cancer outcomes. However, the associations of short-term peridiagnosis weight dynamics in standardized, clinically operational time frames with cancer survival remain largely unknown. This study aimed to screen for and evaluate the optimal indicator of short-term peridiagnosis weight dynamics to predict overall survival (OS) in patients with cancer. Methods This multicentre cohort study prospectively collected data from 7460 patients pathologically diagnosed with cancer between 2013 and 2019. Body weight data were recorded 1 month before, at the time of and 1 month following diagnosis. By permuting different types (point value in kg, point height-adjusted value in kg/m2, absolute change in kg or relative change in percentage) and time frames (prediagnosis, postdiagnosis or peridiagnosis), we generated 12 different weight-related indicators and compared their prognostic performance using Harrell's C-index, integrated discrimination improvement, continuous net reclassification improvement and time-dependent C-index. We analysed associations of peridiagnosis relative weight change (RWC) with OS using restricted cubic spine (RCS), Kaplan-Meier analysis and multivariable-adjusted Cox regression models. Results The study enrolled 5012 males and 2448 females, with a median age of 59 years. During a median follow-up of 37 months, 1026 deaths occurred. Peridiagnosis (1 month before diagnosis to 1 month following diagnosis) RWC showed higher prognostic performance (Harrell's C-index = 0.601, 95% confidence interval [CI] = [0.583, 0.619]) than other types of indicators including body mass index (BMI), absolute weight change, absolute BMI change, prediagnosis RWC and postdiagnosis RWC in the study population (all P < 0.05). Time-dependent C-index analysis also indicated that peridiagnosis RWC was optimal for predicting OS. The multivariable-adjusted RCS analysis revealed an N-shaped non-linear association between peridiagnosis RWC and OS (P-RWC < 0.001, Pnon-linear < 0.001). Univariate survival analysis showed that the peridiagnosis RWC groups could represent distinct mortality risk stratifications (P < 0.001). Multivariable survival analysis showed that, compared with the maintenance group (weight change < 5%), the significant (gain >10%, hazard ratio [HR] = 0.530, 95% CI = [0.413, 0.680]) and moderate (gain 5-10%, HR = 0.588, 95% CI = [0.422, 0.819]) weight gain groups were both associated with improved OS. In contrast, the moderate (loss 5-10%, HR = 1.219, 95% CI = [1.029, 1.443]) and significant (loss >10%, HR = 1.280, 95% CI = [1.095, 1.497]) weight loss groups were both associated with poorer OS. Conclusions The prognostic performance of peridiagnosis RWC is superior to other weight-related indicators in patients with cancer. The findings underscore the importance of expanding the surveillance of body weight from at diagnosis to both past and future, and conducting it within clinically operational time frames, in order to identify and intervene with patients who are at risk of weight change-related premature deaths.

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出版当年[2023]版:
大类 | 1 区 医学
小类 | 1 区 老年医学 1 区 医学:内科
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大类 | 1 区 医学
小类 | 1 区 老年医学 1 区 医学:内科
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出版当年[2023]版:
Q1 GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL
最新[2023]版:
Q1 GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2023版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2023版]

第一作者:
第一作者机构: [1]Department of Clinical Nutrition, Daping Hospital, Army Medical University (Third Military Medical University), Chongqing, China [2]Department of Nephrology, the Key Laboratory for the Prevention and Treatment of Chronic Kidney Disease of Chongqing, Chongqing Clinical Research Center of Kidney and Urology Diseases, Xinqiao Hospital, Army Medical University (Third Military Medical University), Chongqing, China
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通讯机构: [1]Department of Clinical Nutrition, Daping Hospital, Army Medical University (Third Military Medical University), Chongqing, China [20]Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery and Department of Clinical Nutrition, Beijing Shijitan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China [21]Key Laboratory of Cancer FSMP for State Market Regulation, Beijing, China [*1]Department of Clinical Nutrition, Daping Hospital, Army Medical University (Third Military Medical University), Chongqing 400042, China. [*2]Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery and Department of Clinical Nutrition, Beijing Shijitan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing 100038, China.
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