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The development of a nomogram and the prognostic prediction value of patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma undergoing radical radiotherapy

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机构: [1]School of Medicine, University of Electronic Science & Technology of China, Chengdu, China [2]Department of Radiotherapy Centre, Sichuan Cancer Hospital & Institute, Chengdu, China [3]Affiliated Hospital of Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine (West District), Chengdu Pidu District Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine
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关键词: chemoradiotherapy ESCC prediction model

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Aim: This study aimed to explore the role of the developed nomogram in the prognosis of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). Methods: A total of 181 ESCC patients were randomly divided into a training cohort (n = 141) and a validation cohort (n = 40). Significant factors impacting overall survival (OS) were identified in the training set and integrated into the nomogram based on Cox proportional hazards regression. Results: In the training cohort, the median OS in the high group (>= 222) was 49.9 months and the median OS in the low group (<222) was 14.4 months. Multivariate analysis revealed that age, Karnofsky performance status score, tumor stage, chemotherapy, BMI, cervical esophageal carcinoma index and neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio were predictors of OS. Conclusion: The developed nomogram can effectively predict the survival prognosis of ESCC patients. Lay abstract: Currently, the prognosis of patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) is poor, especially in patients with advanced stages. This study aimed to establish a prognostic model based on the common detection indexes and treatment status of different ESCC patients during treatment. Studies have shown that the prognosis of ESCC patients is related to local tumor size, nutritional function and immune inflammatory indicators. The prognostic model established by us can better distinguish patient risk and predict patients' overall survival. Pre-treatment intervention for patients with a poor prognosis may improve the survival of ESCC patients.

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Q3 MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2022版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2021版] 出版后一年[2023版]

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第一作者机构: [1]School of Medicine, University of Electronic Science & Technology of China, Chengdu, China [2]Department of Radiotherapy Centre, Sichuan Cancer Hospital & Institute, Chengdu, China
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通讯机构: [1]School of Medicine, University of Electronic Science & Technology of China, Chengdu, China [2]Department of Radiotherapy Centre, Sichuan Cancer Hospital & Institute, Chengdu, China
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