机构:[1]Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery, State Key Laboratory of Biotherapy and Cancer Center, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Chengdu四川大学华西医院[2]Department of Pharmacy, State Key Laboratory of Biotherapy and Cancer Center, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Chengdu四川大学华西医院[3]Institute of Digestive Surgery, State Key Laboratory of Biotherapy and Cancer Center, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Chengdu四川大学华西医院[4]Department of General Surgery, West China-Ziyang Hospital of Sichuan University/The First People’s Hospital of Ziyang, Ziyang, Sichuan Province, China.
The aim of study was to develop and validate nomograms for predicting overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) of patients with pseudomyxoma peritonei (PMP) and compare the predictive accuracy with the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system.
Data of 4959 PMP patients who underwent surgical resection were collected between 2004 and 2015 from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. All included patients were divided into training (n = 3307) and validation (n = 1652) cohorts. The Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazard model were applied. Nomograms were validated by discrimination and calibration. Finally, concordance index (C-index) was used to compare the predictive performance of nomograms with that of the AJCC staging system.
According to the univariate and multivariate analyses of training sets, both nomograms for predicting OS and CSS combining age, grade, location, N stage, M stage, and chemotherapy were identified. Nomograms predicting OS also incorporated T stage and the number of lymph nodes removed (LNR). The calibration curves showed good consistency between predicted and actual observed survival. Moreover, C-index values demonstrated that the nomograms predicting both OS and CSS were superior to the AJCC staging system in both cohorts.
We successfully developed and validated prognostic nomograms for predicting OS and CSS in PMP patients. Two nomograms were more accurate and applicable than the AJCC staging system for predicting patient survival, which may help clinicians stratify patients into different risk groups, tailor individualized treatment, and accurately predict patient survival in PMP.
基金:
This study was supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China [grant numbers 81472304]; National Key Research and Development Program of China
[grant numbers 2016YFC0906000 [2016YFC0906003]]; Sichuan Science and Technology Program [grant numbers 2017JY0020]; and 1.3.5 project for disciplines of
excellence, West China Hospital, Sichuan University
语种:
外文
PubmedID:
中科院(CAS)分区:
出版当年[2020]版:
大类|4 区医学
小类|4 区医学:内科
最新[2023]版:
大类|4 区医学
小类|4 区医学:内科
第一作者:
第一作者机构:[1]Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery, State Key Laboratory of Biotherapy and Cancer Center, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Chengdu
共同第一作者:
通讯作者:
通讯机构:[1]Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery, State Key Laboratory of Biotherapy and Cancer Center, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Chengdu[3]Institute of Digestive Surgery, State Key Laboratory of Biotherapy and Cancer Center, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Chengdu[4]Department of General Surgery, West China-Ziyang Hospital of Sichuan University/The First People’s Hospital of Ziyang, Ziyang, Sichuan Province, China.[*1]Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, No. 37 Guoxue Lane, Chengdu 610041, China[*2]Department of General Surgery, West China-Ziyang Hospital of Sichuan University/The First People’s Hospital of Ziyang, No. 66 Rende West Road, Ziyang 641301, China
推荐引用方式(GB/T 7714):
Chen Peng,Su Lan,Yang Wenming,et al.Development and validation of prognostic nomograms for pseudomyxoma peritonei patients after surgery: A population-based study.[J].Medicine.2020,99(31):e20963.doi:10.1097/MD.0000000000020963.
APA:
Chen Peng,Su Lan,Yang Wenming,Zhang Jianhao,Wang Yong...&Zhou Zongguang.(2020).Development and validation of prognostic nomograms for pseudomyxoma peritonei patients after surgery: A population-based study..Medicine,99,(31)
MLA:
Chen Peng,et al."Development and validation of prognostic nomograms for pseudomyxoma peritonei patients after surgery: A population-based study.".Medicine 99..31(2020):e20963