高级检索
当前位置: 首页 > 详情页

Derivation and Validation of a New Score for Predicting In-Hospital Mortality in Exacerbations of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

文献详情

资源类型:
WOS体系:
Pubmed体系:

收录情况: ◇ SCIE

机构: [1]Sichuan Univ, West China Hosp, Dept Resp & Crit Care Med, Chengdu, Sichuan, Peoples R China [2]Univ Elect Sci & Technol China, Sichuan Canc Hosp, Chengdu, Sichuan, Peoples R China [3]Guangzhou Med Univ, State Key Lab Resp Dis, Guangzhou, Guangdong, Peoples R China [4]Peoples Hosp Leshan, Dept Resp & Crit Care Med, Leshan, Sichuan, Peoples R China [5]Zhejiang Univ, Sir Run Run Shaw Hosp, Dept Resp & Crit Care Med, Sch Med, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, Peoples R China [6]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, Tongji Hosp, Tongji Med Coll, Dept Resp & Crit Care Med, Wuhan, Hubei, Peoples R China [7]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, Union Hosp, Tongji Med Coll, Dept Resp & Crit Care Med, Wuhan, Hubei, Peoples R China [8]First Peoples Hosp Neijiang City, Dept Resp & Crit Care Med, Neijiang, Sichuan, Peoples R China [9]Cent South Univ, Dept Resp & Crit Care Med, Xiangya Hosp, Changsha, Hunan, Peoples R China [10]First Peoples Hosp Jiujiang, Dept Emergency, Jiujiang, Jiangxi, Peoples R China [11]Chengdu Univ, Affiliated Hosp, Dept Resp & Crit Care Med, Chengdu, Sichuan, Peoples R China [12]Sichuan Univ, West China Hosp, Ctr Infect Dis, Div Infect Dis,State Key Lab Biotherapy, Chengdu, Sichuan, Peoples R China
出处:
ISSN:

关键词: exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in-hospital mortality inpatients prognostic score

摘要:
Background and Objective Since exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (ECOPD) is both common and often fatal, accurate prognostication of patients hospitalized for ECOPD is critical. We aimed to develop and validate a new score for predicting hospital mortality. Methods Independent predictors of in-hospital mortality were identified from a large prospective cohort of ECOPD from 10 medical centers in China between September 2017 and July 2021, and incorporated into a clinical prediction score. Application of this score was then prospectively evaluated in an external validation cohort. The prognostic value of the scores was assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Results A total of 14,007 patients were included in the derivation cohort, and 201 patients (1.43%) died in the hospital. The 11 strongest independent predictors were combined to form the Chronic Heart failure, Age >= 75, altered Mental status, Pneumonia, Interstitial lung disease, diastolic blOod pressure <= 70 mmHg, Neutrophil ratio > 85 (%), Anemia, Long-term bed rest, hEart Rate > 100 (beats/minute), and blood urea niTrogen > 7.3 mmol/L, CHAMPION-ALERT Score, which enabled patients to be stratified according to increasing risk of in-hospital mortality: score 0-5, 0.3%; score 6-9, 4.4%; score 10-16, 25.9%. The score displayed excellent predictive value for mortality with an AUC of 0.89 (95% CI 0.87-0.92), which was reproduced in the validation cohort of 3048 patients. The discrimination of the new score was superior to or comparable to that of existing prognostic scores (DECAF, BAP-65, and CURB-65). Conclusion A new scoring system composes of 11 routinely available clinical variables on admission can accurately predict in-hospital mortality in ECOPD and shows a trend toward better performance compared to previous prognostic scores.

基金:
语种:
被引次数:
WOS:
PubmedID:
中科院(CAS)分区:
出版当年[2025]版:
大类 | 2 区 医学
小类 | 2 区 医学:内科 3 区 卫生保健与服务
最新[2025]版:
大类 | 2 区 医学
小类 | 2 区 医学:内科 3 区 卫生保健与服务
JCR分区:
出版当年[2024]版:
Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL
最新[2024]版:
Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL

影响因子: 最新[2024版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2024版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2024版]

第一作者:
第一作者机构: [1]Sichuan Univ, West China Hosp, Dept Resp & Crit Care Med, Chengdu, Sichuan, Peoples R China
共同第一作者:
通讯作者:
推荐引用方式(GB/T 7714):
APA:
MLA:

相关文献

[1]Blood Eosinophils and Clinical Outcomes in Inpatients with Acute Exacerbation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: A Prospective Cohort Study [2]Characteristics, treatments, in-hospital and long-term outcomes among inpatients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in China: sex differences in a large cohort study [3]Risk factors of in-hospital mortality and discriminating capacity of NIVO score in exacerbations of COPD requiring noninvasive ventilation [4]Validation of the Rome Severity Classification of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Exacerbation: A Multicenter Cohort Study [5]Alternative Therapy for Acute Exacerbation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: Moving Cupping along Meridians [6]Low diastolic blood pressure and adverse outcomes in inpatients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: A multicenter cohort study [7]Sex Differences Regarding the Risk of Incident Venous Thromboembolism in Hospitalized Patients with an Acute Exacerbation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease [8]Hemoglobin and clinical outcomes of in-hospital patients with severe acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: a multicenter cohort study [9]Prediction Model of In-Hospital Death for Acute Exacerbation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Patients Admitted to Intensive Care Unit: The PD-ICU Score [10]慢性阻塞性肺疾病急性加重患者合并侵袭性肺曲霉菌病的临床特征及相关因素分析

资源点击量:65780 今日访问量:3 总访问量:5151 更新日期:2025-12-01 建议使用谷歌、火狐浏览器 常见问题

版权所有©2020 四川省肿瘤医院 技术支持:重庆聚合科技有限公司 地址:成都市人民南路四段55号