高级检索
当前位置: 首页 > 详情页

Prediction Model of In-Hospital Death for Acute Exacerbation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Patients Admitted to Intensive Care Unit: The PD-ICU Score

文献详情

资源类型:
WOS体系:
Pubmed体系:

收录情况: ◇ SCIE

机构: [1]Sichuan Univ, West China Hosp, Dept Crit Care Med, Chengdu, Peoples R China [2]Sichuan Univ, West China Hosp, Dept Resp & Crit Care Med, Chengdu, Peoples R China [3]Univ Elect Sci & Technol China, Sichuan Canc Hosp, Chengdu, Peoples R China [4]Guangzhou Med Univ, State Key Lab Resp Dis, Guangzhou, Peoples R China [5]Peoples Hosp Leshan, Dept Resp & Crit Care Med, Leshan, Peoples R China [6]Zhejiang Univ, Sir Run Run Shaw Hosp, Dept Resp & Crit Care Med, Sch Med, Hangzhou, Peoples R China [7]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, Tongji Hosp, Tongji Med Coll, Dept Resp & Crit Care Med, Wuhan, Peoples R China [8]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, Union Hosp, Tongji Med Coll, Dept Resp & Crit Care Med, Wuhan, Peoples R China [9]First Peoples Hosp Neijiang City, Dept Resp & Crit Care Med, Neijiang, Peoples R China [10]Cent South Univ, Xiangya Hosp, Dept Resp & Crit Care Med, Changsha, Peoples R China [11]Chengdu Univ, Dept Resp & Crit Care Med, Affiliated Hosp, Chengdu, Peoples R China [12]Sichuan Univ, West China Hosp, Ctr Infect Dis, Div Infect Dis,State Key Lab Biotherapy, Chengdu, Peoples R China
出处:
ISSN:

关键词: Acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease Intensive care unit In-hospital death Risk score

摘要:
Introduction: Patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) admitted to intensive care unit (ICU) are exposed to poor clinical outcomes, and no specific prognostic models are available among this population. We aimed to develop and validate a risk score for prognosis prediction for these patients. Methods: This was a multicenter observation study. AECOPD patients admitted to ICU were included for model derivation from a prospective, multicenter cohort study. Logistic regression analysis was applied to identify independent predictors for in-hospital death and establish the prognostic risk score. The risk score was further validated and compared with DECAF, BAP-65, CURB-65, and APACHE II score in another multicenter cohort. Results: Five variables were identified as independent predictors for in-hospital death in APCOPD patients admitted to ICU, and a corresponding risk score (PD-ICU score) was established, which was composed of procalcitonin >0.5 mu g/L, diastolic blood pressure <60 mm Hg, need for invasive mechanical ventilation, disturbance of consciousness, and blood urea nitrogen >7.2 mmol/L. Patients were classified into three risk categories according to the PD-ICU score. The in-hospital mortality of low-risk, intermediate-risk, and high-risk patients was 0.3%, 7.3%, and 27.9%, respectively. PD-ICU score displayed excellent discrimination ability with an area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.815 in the derivation cohort and 0.754 in the validation cohort which outperformed other prognostic models. Conclusion: We derived and validated a simple and clinician-friendly prediction model (PD-ICU score) for in-hospital mortality among AECOPD patients admitted to ICU. With good performance and clinical practicability, this model may facilitate early risk stratification and optimal decision-making among these patients.

基金:
语种:
WOS:
PubmedID:
中科院(CAS)分区:
出版当年[2023]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 呼吸系统
最新[2023]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 呼吸系统
JCR分区:
出版当年[2023]版:
Q2 RESPIRATORY SYSTEM
最新[2023]版:
Q2 RESPIRATORY SYSTEM

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2023版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2023版]

第一作者:
第一作者机构: [1]Sichuan Univ, West China Hosp, Dept Crit Care Med, Chengdu, Peoples R China
通讯作者:
推荐引用方式(GB/T 7714):
APA:
MLA:

资源点击量:46669 今日访问量:3 总访问量:3332 更新日期:2024-11-01 建议使用谷歌、火狐浏览器 常见问题

版权所有©2020 四川省肿瘤医院 技术支持:重庆聚合科技有限公司 地址:成都市人民南路四段55号