机构:[1]Sichuan Univ, Inst Syst Epidemiol, Dept Epidemiol & Biostat, Chengdu, Sichuan, Peoples R China[2]Sichuan Univ, West China Sch Publ Hlth, West China PUMC CC Chen Inst Hlth, Chengdu, Sichuan, Peoples R China[3]Sichuan Univ, West China Hosp 4, 16 Sect 3,South Renmin Rd, Chengdu 610041, Peoples R China[4]Univ Elect Sci & Technol China, Sichuan Prov Peoples Hosp, Clin Res Ctr, Chengdu, Sichuan, Peoples R China四川省人民医院[5]Southwest Med Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol & Hlth Stat, Luzhou, Sichuan, Peoples R China[6]Lanzhou Univ, Evidence Based Social Sci Res Ctr, Sch Publ Hlth, Lanzhou, Gansu, Peoples R China[7]Lanzhou Univ, Evidence Based Med Ctr, Sch Basic Med Sci, Lanzhou, Gansu, Peoples R China[8]McMaster Univ, Dept Hlth Res Methods Evidence & Impact, Hamilton, ON, Canada[9]Lanzhou Univ, Clin Med Coll 2, Lanzhou, Gansu, Peoples R China[10]Sichuan Univ, West China Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Prevent Med, Chengdu, Sichuan, Peoples R China[11]Sichuan Univ, West China Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Hyg Toxicol, Chengdu, Sichuan, Peoples R China[12]Sichuan Univ, West China Hosp, Chinese Evidence Based Med Ctr, Chengdu, Sichuan, Peoples R China四川大学华西医院[13]Sichuan Univ, West China Hosp 4, West China Sch Publ Hlth, Chengdu 610041, Sichuan, Peoples R China[14]Key Lab Evidence Based Med & Knowledge Translat G, Lanzhou, Gansu, Peoples R China[15]Sichuan Univ, Sch Polymer Sci & Engn, Dept Iatr Polymer Mat & Artificial Apparat, Chengdu, Peoples R China[16]Sichuan Univ, West China Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Maternal Child & Adolescent Hlth, Chengdu, Peoples R China[17]Sichuan Univ, 16 Sect 3,South Renmin Rd, Chengdu 610041, Sichuan, Peoples R China
BackgroundTo evaluate the reporting quality and methodological quality of dynamic prediction model (DPM) studies on cancer prognosis.MethodsExtensive search for DPM studies on cancer prognosis was conducted in MEDLINE, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library databases. The Transparent Reporting of a Multivariable Prediction Model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis (TRIPOD) and the Prediction model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool (PROBAST) were used to assess reporting quality and methodological quality, respectively.ResultsA total of 34 DPM studies were identified since the first publication in 2005, the main modeling methods for DPMs included the landmark model and the joint model. Regarding the reporting quality, the median overall TRIPOD adherence score was 75%. The TRIPOD items were poorly reported, especially the title (23.53%), model specification, including presentation (55.88%) and interpretation (50%) of the DPM usage, and implications for clinical use and future research (29.41%). Concerning methodological quality, most studies were of low quality (n = 30) or unclear (n = 3), mainly due to statistical analysis issues.ConclusionsThe Landmark model and joint model show potential in DPM. The suboptimal reporting and methodological qualities of current DPM studies should be improved to facilitate clinical application.
基金:
National Key R&D Program of China (2022YFC3600600, 2022YFC3600604), the National Natural Science Foundation of China (U22A20359, 81874283, 81673255), the Recruitment Program for Young Professionals of China, the Science Fund for Creative Research Groups of Science and Technology Bureau of Sichuan Province (2024NSFT0030), the Promotion Plan for Basic Medical Sciences and the Development Plan for Cutting-Edge Disciplines, Sichuan University, and other Projects from West China School of Public Health and West China Fourth Hospital, Sichuan University.
第一作者机构:[1]Sichuan Univ, Inst Syst Epidemiol, Dept Epidemiol & Biostat, Chengdu, Sichuan, Peoples R China[2]Sichuan Univ, West China Sch Publ Hlth, West China PUMC CC Chen Inst Hlth, Chengdu, Sichuan, Peoples R China[3]Sichuan Univ, West China Hosp 4, 16 Sect 3,South Renmin Rd, Chengdu 610041, Peoples R China[4]Univ Elect Sci & Technol China, Sichuan Prov Peoples Hosp, Clin Res Ctr, Chengdu, Sichuan, Peoples R China
共同第一作者:
通讯作者:
通讯机构:[1]Sichuan Univ, Inst Syst Epidemiol, Dept Epidemiol & Biostat, Chengdu, Sichuan, Peoples R China[2]Sichuan Univ, West China Sch Publ Hlth, West China PUMC CC Chen Inst Hlth, Chengdu, Sichuan, Peoples R China[3]Sichuan Univ, West China Hosp 4, 16 Sect 3,South Renmin Rd, Chengdu 610041, Peoples R China[13]Sichuan Univ, West China Hosp 4, West China Sch Publ Hlth, Chengdu 610041, Sichuan, Peoples R China[16]Sichuan Univ, West China Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Maternal Child & Adolescent Hlth, Chengdu, Peoples R China[17]Sichuan Univ, 16 Sect 3,South Renmin Rd, Chengdu 610041, Sichuan, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式(GB/T 7714):
Yan Peijing,Xu Zhengxing,Hui Xu,et al.The reporting quality and methodological quality of dynamic prediction models for cancer prognosis[J].BMC MEDICAL RESEARCH METHODOLOGY.2025,25(1):doi:10.1186/s12874-025-02516-2.
APA:
Yan, Peijing,Xu, Zhengxing,Hui, Xu,Chu, Xiajing,Chen, Yizhuo...&Zhang, Ben.(2025).The reporting quality and methodological quality of dynamic prediction models for cancer prognosis.BMC MEDICAL RESEARCH METHODOLOGY,25,(1)
MLA:
Yan, Peijing,et al."The reporting quality and methodological quality of dynamic prediction models for cancer prognosis".BMC MEDICAL RESEARCH METHODOLOGY 25..1(2025)