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Effect of comorbidity classes on survival of patients with gastrointestinal tract cancer

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机构: [1]Shanxi Med Univ, Clin Med Coll 1, Dept Gastrointestinal Surg, Hosp 1, Taiyuan 030001, Shanxi, Peoples R China [2]Shanxi Med Univ, Ctr Clin Epidemiol & Evidence Based Med, Hosp 1, Dept Gastrointestinal Surg, Taiyuan 030001, Shanxi, Peoples R China [3]Tianjin Med Univ Canc Inst & Hosp, Natl Clin Res Ctr Canc, Tianjins Clin Res Ctr Canc, Tianjin 300060, Peoples R China [4]First Hosp Jilin Univ, Canc Ctr, Changchun 130021, Peoples R China [5]Fujian Canc Hosp, Fuzhou 350000, Peoples R China [6]Army Med Univ, Mil Med Univ 3, Daping Hosp, Dept Clin Nutr, Chongqing 400042, Peoples R China [7]Kunming Med Univ, Dept Clin Nutr, Affiliated Hosp 1, Kunming 650500, Peoples R China [8]Anhui Prov Canc Hosp, Dept Med Oncol, Hefei 230031, Peoples R China [9]Zhejiang Chinese Med Univ, Affiliated Hosp 2, Xinhua Hosp Zhejiang Prov, Hangzhou 310005, Zhejiang, Peoples R China [10]Sichuan Univ, West China Hosp, Dept Clin Nutr, Chengdu 610041, Peoples R China [11]Kunming Med Univ, Yunnan Canc Hosp, Dept Clin Nutr, Affiliated Hosp 3, Kunming 650118, Yunnan, Peoples R China [12]Guangxi Med Univ, Affiliated Hosp 1, Dept Gastrointestinal Surg, Nanning 530021, Peoples R China [13]Air Force Med Univ, Xijing Hosp, Xian 750102, Peoples R China [14]Tianjin Med Univ Canc Inst & Hosp, Tianjin 300060, Peoples R China [15]Capital Med Univ, Dept Gastrointestinal Surg, Beijing 100038, Shanxi, Peoples R China [16]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Shijitan Hosp, Dept Clin Nutr, Beijing 100038, Shanxi, Peoples R China [17]Peking Union Med Coll Hosp, Beijing 100730, Peoples R China [18]Shanxi Med Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Nutr & Food Hyg, Taiyuan 030001, Shanxi, Peoples R China
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关键词: Gastrointestinal tract cancer Comorbidity Predictive model Overall survival

摘要:
Background Comorbidities may complicate medical situations and have an impact on the treatment decisions and poor survival of cancer patients. How comorbidities cluster together and ultimately affect patients' outcomes in gastrointestinal tract cancer (GTC) is a poorly understood area. Methods In a multicenter prospective observational study from 2012 to 2021, we grouped the comorbidities of patients with GTC by latent class analysis, obtaining two comorbidity classes. Cox regression models were initially used to predict mortality. LASSO techniques were used to reduce the dimension. The final model included the comorbidity classes and nine more predictors. Additionally, the performance of different simple multimorbidity measures were compared using the Bayesian information criterion (BIC), ROC curves and C-index. Finally, the performance of the final model was analyzed using ROC curves, calibration curves and decision curves. The nomogram was drawn to evaluate the model. Results We included 10,019 patients and obtained two comorbidity classes. Class 2 patients have a higher incidence of comorbidities, and a lower survival rate compared to Class 1 (P < 0.001). Compared to models containing the number of comorbidities or only a single comorbidity, the final model with the comorbidity classes has the highest AUC and C-index, as well as the lowest BIC, indicating this model has the best predictive performance. Conclusion We identified two classes of comorbidities that were associated with overall survival in patients with GTC. The combination of different comorbidities class plays a vital role in the prognosis of GTC.

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大类 | 2 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 肿瘤学
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Q2 ONCOLOGY

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第一作者机构: [1]Shanxi Med Univ, Clin Med Coll 1, Dept Gastrointestinal Surg, Hosp 1, Taiyuan 030001, Shanxi, Peoples R China
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通讯机构: [1]Shanxi Med Univ, Clin Med Coll 1, Dept Gastrointestinal Surg, Hosp 1, Taiyuan 030001, Shanxi, Peoples R China [15]Capital Med Univ, Dept Gastrointestinal Surg, Beijing 100038, Shanxi, Peoples R China [16]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Shijitan Hosp, Dept Clin Nutr, Beijing 100038, Shanxi, Peoples R China [18]Shanxi Med Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Nutr & Food Hyg, Taiyuan 030001, Shanxi, Peoples R China
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