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A CT-based subregional radiomics nomogram for predicting local recurrence-free survival in esophageal squamous cell cancer patients treated by definitive chemoradiotherapy: a multicenter study

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机构: [1]Fourth Mil Med Univ, Xijing Hosp, Dept Radiat Oncol, 127 West Changle Rd, Xian, Peoples R China [2]Univ Elect Sci & Technol China, Sichuan Canc Hosp & Inst, Sichuan Canc Ctr, Sch Med,Dept Radiat Oncol, Chengdu, Peoples R China [3]Tianjin Med Univ, Canc Inst & Hosp, Natl Clin Res Ctr Canc, Tianjins Clin Res Ctr Canc,Key Lab Canc Prevent &, Tianjin, Peoples R China [4]Shandong First Med Univ, Shandong Canc Hosp & Inst, Shandong Acad Med Sci, Dept Radiat Oncol, Jinan, Peoples R China
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关键词: Esophageal squamous cell cancer Definitive chemoradiotherapy Local recurrence-free survival Radiomics Subregion

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Background To develop and validate an online individualized model for predicting local recurrence-free survival (LRFS) in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) treated by definitive chemoradiotherapy (dCRT). Methods ESCC patients from three hospitals were randomly stratified into the training set (715) and the internal testing set (179), and patients from the other hospital as the external testing set (120). The important radiomic features extracted from contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT)-based subregions clustered from the whole volume of tumor and peritumor were selected and used to construct the subregion-based radiomic signature by using COX proportional hazards model, which was compared with the tumor-based radiomic signature. The clinical model and the radiomics model combing the clinical factors and the radiomic signature were further constructed and compared, which were validated in two testing sets. Results The subresion-based radiomic signature showed better prognostic performance than the tumor-based radiomic signature (training: 0.642 vs. 0.621, internal testing: 0.657 vs. 0.638, external testing: 0.636 vs. 0.612). Although the tumor-based radiomic signature, the subregion-based radiomic signature, the tumor-based radiomics model, and the subregion-based radiomics model had better performance compared to the clinical model, only the subregion-based radiomics model showed a significant advantage (p < 0.05; training: 0.666 vs. 0.616, internal testing: 0.689 vs. 0.649, external testing: 0.642 vs. 0.604). The clinical model and the subregion-based radiomics model were visualized as the nomograms, which are available online and could interactively calculate LRFS probability. Conclusions We established and validated a CECT-based online radiomics nomogram for predicting LRFS in ESCC received dCRT, which outperformed the clinical model and might serve as a powerful tool to facilitate individualized treatment.

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大类 | 2 区 医学
小类 | 2 区 医学:研究与实验
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Q1 MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL

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第一作者机构: [1]Fourth Mil Med Univ, Xijing Hosp, Dept Radiat Oncol, 127 West Changle Rd, Xian, Peoples R China
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