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Predictive value of peri-chemotherapy hematological parameters for febrile neutropenia in patients with cancer

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机构: [1]Univ Elect Sci & Technol China, Sichuan Clin Res Ctr Canc, Sichuan Canc Ctr, Sichuan Canc Hosp & Inst,Affiliated Canc Hosp,Dept, Chengdu, Peoples R China [2]Sichuan Taikang Hosp, Canc Ctr, Chengdu, Sichuan, Peoples R China [3]Univ Elect Sci & Technol China, Sichuan Canc Hosp & Inst, Sichuan Canc Ctr, Sch Med,Dept Biomed Informat, Chengdu, Peoples R China [4]Department of Nuclear Medicine, Sichuan Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sichuan Cancer Hospital and Institute, Sichuan Cancer Center, Affiliated Cancer Hospital of University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu, China
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关键词: febrile neutropenia chemotherapy hematological parameters prediction nomogram

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Objective The aim of this study was to compare hematological parameters pre- and early post-chemotherapy, and evaluate their values for predicting febrile neutropenia (FN).Methods Patients diagnosed with malignant solid tumors receiving chemotherapy were included. Blood cell counts peri-chemotherapy and clinical information were retrieved from the hospital information system. We used the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method for variable selection and fitted selected variables to a logistic model. We assessed the performance of the prediction model by the area under the ROC curve.Results The study population consisted of 4,130 patients with common solid tumors receiving a three-week chemotherapy regimen in Sichuan Cancer Hospital from February 2019 to March 2022. In the FN group, change percentage of neutrophil count decreased less (-0.02, CI: -0.88 to 3.48 vs. -0.04, CI: -0.83 to 2.24). Among hematological parameters, lower post-chemotherapy lymphocyte count (OR 0.942, CI: 0.934-0.949), change percentage of platelet (OR 0.965, CI: 0.955-0.975) and higher change percentage of post-chemotherapy neutrophil count (OR 1.015, CI: 1.011-1.018), and pre-chemotherapy NLR (OR 1.002, CI: 1.002-1.002) predicted an increased risk of FN. These factors improved the predicting model based on clinical factors alone. The AUC of the combination model was 0.8275.Conclusion Peri-chemotherapy hematological markers improve the prediction of FN.

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大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 肿瘤学
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Q2 ONCOLOGY

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第一作者机构: [1]Univ Elect Sci & Technol China, Sichuan Clin Res Ctr Canc, Sichuan Canc Ctr, Sichuan Canc Hosp & Inst,Affiliated Canc Hosp,Dept, Chengdu, Peoples R China
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