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Construction of a Tool to Predict Overall Survival of Patients With Primary Spinal Tumors After Surgical Resection: A Real-World Analysis Based on the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Database.

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机构: [1]Department of Orthopedics, Orthopedic Research Institute, West China Hospital, 12530Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China. [2]Department of Orthopedics, 74569China-Japan Union Hospital of Jilin University, Jilin, China.
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关键词: primary spinal tumors overall survival nomogram surveillance epidemiology and end results database prognosis

摘要:
We aim to construct a practical clinical prediction model to accurately evaluate the overall survival (OS) of patients with primary spinal tumors after primary tumor resection, thereby aiding clinical decision-making.A total of 695 patients diagnosed with a primary spinal tumor, selected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, were included in this study. The Cox regression algorithm was applied to the training cohort to build the prognostic nomogram model. The nomogram's performance in terms of discrimination, calibration, and clinical usefulness was also assessed in the internal SEER validation cohort. The fitted prognostic nomogram was then used to create a web-based calculator.Four independent prognostic factors were identified to establish a nomogram model for patients with primary spinal tumors who had undergone surgical resection. The C-index (.757 for the training cohort and .681 for the validation cohort) and the area under the curve values over time (both >.68) showed that the model exhibited satisfactory discrimination in both the SEER cohort. The calibration curve revealed that the projected and actual survival rates are very similar. The decision curve analysis also revealed that the model is clinically valuable and capable of identifying high-risk patients.After developing a nomogram and a web-based calculator, we were able to reliably forecast the postoperative OS of patients with primary spinal tumors. These tools are expected to play an important role in clinical practice, informing clinicians in making decisions about patient care after surgery.

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出版当年[2022]版:
大类 | 4 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 临床神经病学 4 区 骨科
最新[2023]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 临床神经病学 4 区 骨科
第一作者:
第一作者机构: [1]Department of Orthopedics, Orthopedic Research Institute, West China Hospital, 12530Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.
通讯作者:
通讯机构: [1]Department of Orthopedics, Orthopedic Research Institute, West China Hospital, 12530Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China. [*1]Department of Orthopedics, Orthopedic Research Institute, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, No.37 Guo Xue Lane, Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, China
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