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Nomogram Predicting Survival to Assist Decision-Making of Metastasectomy in Patients With Metastatic Renal Cell Carcinoma.

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机构: [1]Department of Urology, Institute of Urology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Sichuan, China
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关键词: metastatic renal cell carcinoma metastasectomy nomogram cancer-specific mortality cytoreductive nephrectomy

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The survival benefit of metastasectomy (MSX) in patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC) remains unclear. A reliable model to predict an individuals' risk of cancer-specific mortality (CSM) and to identify optimal candidates for MSX is needed. We identified 2,911 mRCC patients who underwent cytoreductive nephrectomy from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (2010-2015). Based on the Fine and Gray competing risks analyses, we created a nomogram to predict the survival of mRCC patients. Decision tree analysis was useful for patient stratification. The impact of MSX was assessed among three different subgroups. Overall, 579 (19.9%) cases underwent MSX. In the entire patients, the 1-, 2-, and 3-year cumulative incidence of CSM were 32.8, 47.2, and 57.9%, respectively. MSX was significantly associated with improved survival (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.875, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.773-0.991; P = 0.015). Based on risk scores, patients were divided into three risk groups using decision tree analysis. In the low-risk group, MSX was significantly associated with a 12.8% risk reduction of 3-year CSM (HR = 0.689, 95% CI 0.507-0.938; P = 0.008), while MSX was not associated with survival in intermediate- and high-risk groups. We proposed a novel nomogram and patient stratification approach to identify suitable patients for MSX. The newly identified patient subgroup with a low-risk of CSM might benefit more from aggressive surgery. These results should be further validated and improved by the prospective trials. Copyright © 2020 Wu, Liu, Shao and Li.

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出版当年[2020]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 肿瘤学
最新[2023]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 肿瘤学
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第一作者机构: [1]Department of Urology, Institute of Urology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Sichuan, China
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