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The long-term rapid increase in incidence of adenocarcinoma of the kidney in the USA, especially among younger ages.

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机构: [1]Brown School of Public Health, Providence, RI, USA [2]Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, West China School of Public Health and West China Fourth Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China [3]Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, NCI, Bethesda, MD, USA [4]George Washington University, Washington, DC, USA [5]Rhode Island Department of Health, Providence, RI, USA [6]China National Cancer Center, Beijing, 100021, China [7]College for Public Health & Social Justice Saint Louis University, MO, USA [8]International Prevention Research Institute, Lyon, France
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关键词: Renal cell carcinoma descriptive epidemiology SEER

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We previously observed a rapid increase in the incidence of renal cell carcinoma (RCC) in men and women between 1935 and 1989 in the USA, using data from the Connecticut Tumor Registry. This increase appeared to be largely explained by a positive cohort effect, but no population-based study has been conducted to comprehensively examine age-period-cohort effects by histologic types for the past decade. We calculated age-adjusted and age-specific incidence rates of the two major kidney-cancer subtypes RCC and renal urothelial carcinoma, and conducted an age-period-cohort analysis of 114 138 incident cases of kidney cancer reported between 1992 and 2014 to the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results programme. The age-adjusted incidence rates of RCC have been increasing consistently in the USA among both men and women (from 12.18/100 000 in 1992-1994 to 18.35/100 000 in 2010-2014 among men; from 5.77/100 000 in 1992-1994 to 8.63/100 000 in 2010-2014 among women). Incidence rates generally increased in successive birth cohorts, with a continuing increase in rates among the younger age groups (ages 0-54 years) in both men and women and among both Whites and Blacks. These observations were confirmed by age-period-cohort modelling, which suggested an increasing birth-cohort trend for RCC beginning with 1955 birth cohorts, regardless of the assumed value for the period effect for both men and women and for Whites and Blacks. Known risk factors for kidney cancer may not fully account for the observed increasing rates or the birth-cohort pattern for RCC, prompting the need for additional etiologic hypotheses (such as environmental exposures) to investigate these descriptive patterns. © The Author(s) 2019; all rights reserved. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the International Epidemiological Association.

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出版当年[2019]版:
大类 | 1 区 医学
小类 | 1 区 公共卫生、环境卫生与职业卫生
最新[2023]版:
大类 | 2 区 医学
小类 | 1 区 公共卫生、环境卫生与职业卫生
第一作者:
第一作者机构: [1]Brown School of Public Health, Providence, RI, USA [*1]Department of Epidemiology, Brown School of Public Health, 121 South Main Street, Providence, RI 02912, USA
通讯作者:
通讯机构: [1]Brown School of Public Health, Providence, RI, USA [*1]Department of Epidemiology, Brown School of Public Health, 121 South Main Street, Providence, RI 02912, USA
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