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A nomogram for predicting survival of nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients with metachronous metastasis

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机构: [1]Zhong Shan Medical School, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, Peoples R China [2]Department of Medical Imaging and Interventional Radiology, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, Guangdong, Peoples R China [3]Collaborative Innovation Center of Cancer Medicine, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, Peoples R China [4]Department of Radiation Oncology, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, Guangdong, Peoples R China [5]Department of Medical Oncology, Sichuan Cancer Hospital and Institute, Chengdu, People’s Republic of China.
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关键词: metastasis nasopharyngeal carcinoma nomogram prognosis

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Patients with metachronous metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) differ significantly in survival outcomes. The aim of this study is to build a clinically practical nomogram incorporating known tumor prognostic factors to predict survival for metastatic NPC patients in epidemic areas. A total of 860 patients with metachronous metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma were analyzed retrospectively. Variables assessed were age, gender, body mass index, Karnofsky Performance Status (KPS), Union for International Cancer Control (UICC) T and N stages, World Health Organization (WHO) histology type, serum lactate dehydrogenase (sLDH) level, serum Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) level, treatment modality, specific metastatic location (lung/liver/bone), number of metastatic location(s) (isolated vs multiple), and number of metastatic lesion(s) in metastatic location(s) (single vs multiple). The independent prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) by Cox-regression model were utilized to build the nomogram. Independent prognostic factors for OS of metastatic NPC patients included age, UICC N stage, KPS, sLDH, number of metastatic locations, number of metastatic lesions, involvement of liver metastasis, and involvement of bone metastasis. Calibration of the final model suggested a c-index of 0.68 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.65-0.69). Based on the total point (TP) by nomogram, we further subdivided the study cohort into 4 groups. Group 1 (TP < 320, 208 patients) had the lowest risk of dying. Discrimination was visualized by the differences in survival between these 4 groups (group 2/group 1: hazard ratio [HR] = 1.61, 95% CI: 1.24-2.09; group 3/group 1: HR = 2.20, 95% CI: 1.69-2.86; and group 4/group 1: HR = 3.66, 95% CI: 2.82-4.75). The developed nomogram can help guide the prognostication of patients with metachronous metastatic NPC in epidemic areas.

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出版当年[2016]版:
大类 | 2 区 医学
小类 | 2 区 医学:内科
最新[2023]版:
大类 | 4 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 医学:内科
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出版当年[2016]版:
Q2 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL
最新[2023]版:
Q2 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2016版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2015版] 出版后一年[2017版]

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第一作者机构: [1]Zhong Shan Medical School, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, Peoples R China
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通讯机构: [2]Department of Medical Imaging and Interventional Radiology, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, Guangdong, Peoples R China [3]Collaborative Innovation Center of Cancer Medicine, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, Peoples R China [*1]Department of Medical Imaging and Interventional Radiology, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou 510060, , Guangdong, People’s Republic of China
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