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Clinical characteristics and prognosis prediction in patients with AECOPD and type 2 diabetes mellitus: A multicenter observational study

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机构: [1]Sichuan Univ, West China Hosp, Dept Crit Care Med, Chengdu, Sichuan, Peoples R China [2]Sichuan Univ, West China Hosp, Dept Resp & Crit Care Med, 37 Guoxue Alley, Chengdu 610041, Sichuan, Peoples R China [3]Univ Elect Sci & Technol China, Sichuan Canc Hosp, Chengdu, Sichuan, Peoples R China [4]Guangzhou Med Univ, State Key Lab Resp Dis, Guangzhou, Guangdong, Peoples R China [5]Peoples Hosp Leshan, Dept Resp & Crit Care Med, Leshan, Sichuan, Peoples R China [6]Zhejiang Univ, Sch Med, Inst Translat Med, Sch Med, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, Peoples R China [7]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, Tongji Hosp, Tongji Med Coll, Dept Resp & Crit Care Med, Wuhan, Hubei, Peoples R China [8]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, Union Hosp, Tongji Med Coll, Dept Resp & Crit Care Med, Wuhan, Hubei, Peoples R China [9]First Peoples Hosp Neijiang City, Dept Resp & Crit Care Med, Neijiang, Sichuan, Peoples R China [10]Cent South Univ, Xiangya Hosp, Dept Resp & Crit Care Med, Changsha, Hunan, Peoples R China [11]First Peoples Hosp Jiujiang, Dept Emergency, Jiujiang, Jiangxi, Peoples R China [12]Chengdu Univ, Affiliated Hosp, Dept Resp & Crit Care Med, Chengdu, Sichuan, Peoples R China [13]Sichuan Univ, West China Hosp Stomatol, Div Infect Dis,State Key Lab Biotherapy, Chengdu, Sichuan, Peoples R China
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关键词: AECOPD Type 2 diabetes mellitus prognostic model

摘要:
ObjectivesDiabetes is a common comorbidity in COPD population. This study aimed to explore the impacts of T2DM on clinical characteristics and outcomes of patients with exacerbation of COPD, as well as develop a specified prognostic model for these patients.MethodsAECOPD patients were enrolled from a prospective, noninterventional, multicenter cohort study. Propensity score matching with a 1:2 ratio was performed to compare the characteristics and prognosis between patients with and without T2DM. Predictors for short-term mortality were determined by logistic regression analysis and a prediction nomogram were established and further validated in another cohort.ResultsA total of 1804 AECOPD patients with T2DM and 3608 matched patients without T2DM were included. AECOPD patients with T2DM presented with worse disease profile and prognosis. Eight independent predictors for short-term mortality were determined, including advanced age, disturbance of consciousness, chronic cardiac disease, low blood pressure, high heart rate, elevated neutrophil, urea nitrogen and random blood glucose. A prognostic nomogram was established with an AUC of 0.878 (95%CI: 0.842-0.915) in derivation cohort and 0.834 (95% CI: 0.767-0.901) in validation cohort, which was superior to DECAF (0.647 [95%CI: 0.535-0.760]) and BAP-65 score (0.758 [95%CI: 0.666-0.850]). The calibration curve and decision curve analysis also indicated its accuracy and applicability. Besides, a web calculator based on the nomogram was constructed to simplify the use of prognostic nomogram in clinical practice.ConclusionsComorbid diabetes is significantly associated with severe disease profile and worse prognosis in AECOPD population. Our nomogram may help to facilitate early risk assessment and proper decision-making among patients with AECOPD and T2DM.

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大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 呼吸系统
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大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 呼吸系统
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Q2 RESPIRATORY SYSTEM
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Q2 RESPIRATORY SYSTEM

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第一作者机构: [1]Sichuan Univ, West China Hosp, Dept Crit Care Med, Chengdu, Sichuan, Peoples R China
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