高级检索
当前位置: 首页 > 详情页

Excess deaths and loss of life expectancy attributed to long-term NO2 exposure in the Chinese elderly

文献详情

资源类型:
Pubmed体系:
机构: [1]Institute of Social Development and Health Management, Hubei Province Key Laboratory of Occupational Hazard Identification and Control, School of Public Health, Wuhan University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430065, China [2]Department of Outpatient, Hubei Provincial Clinical Research Center for Precision Diagnosis and Treatment of Liver Cancer, Taihe Hospital, Hubei University of Medicine, Shiyan 442000, China [3]Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei 230032, China [4]Department of Environmental Science and Engineering, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065, China [5]China Center for Health Development Studies, Peking University, Beijing 100191, China [6]Center for Healthy Aging and Development Studies, National School of Development, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China
出处:
ISSN:

关键词: Nitrogen dioxide Older adults Mortality Life expectancy Decomposition analysis Cohort study

摘要:
Evidence linking nitrogen dioxide (NO2) air pollution to life span of high-vulnerability older adults is extensively scarce in low- and middle-income countries. This study seeks to quantify mortality risk, excess deaths, and loss of life expectancy (LLE) associated with long-term exposure to NO2 among elderly individuals in China.A nationwide dynamic cohort of 20352 respondents ≥65 years old were enrolled from the China Longitudinal Health and Longevity Survey during 2005-2018. Residential exposures to NO2 and co-pollutants were assessed by well-validated spatiotemporal prediction models. A Cox regression model with time-dependent covariates was utilized to quantify the association of all-cause mortality with NO2 exposure, controlling for confounders such as demographics, lifestyle, health status, and ambient temperature. NO2-attributable deaths and LLE were evaluated for the years 2010 and 2020 based on the pooled NO2-mortality relation derived from multi-national cohort investigations. Decomposition analyses were conducted to dissociate net shift in NO2-related deaths between 2010 and 2020 into four primary contributing factors.A total of 14313 deaths were recorded during follow-up of approximately 100 hundred person-years (median 3.6 years). We observed an approximately linear relationship (nonlinear P = 0.882) of NO2 exposure with all-cause death across a broad range from 6.6 to 95.7 μg/m3. Every 10-μg/m3 rise in yearly average NO2 concentration was linked to a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.045 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.031-1.059). In the updated meta-analysis of this study and 9 existing cohorts, we estimated a pooled HR of 1.043 (95% CI: 1.023-1.063) for each 10-μg/m3 growth in NO2. Reaching a 10 -μg/m3 counterfactual target of NO2 concentration in China could avoid 0.33 (95% empirical CI: 0.19-0.49) million premature deaths and an LLE of 0.40 (95% empirical CI: 0.23-0.59) years in 2010, which greatly dropped to 0.24 (95% empirical CI: 0.14-0.36) million deaths and 0.21 (95% empirical CI: 0.12-0.31) years of LLE in 2020. The net fall in NO2-attributable deaths (-26.8%) between 2010 and 2020 was primarily driven by the declines in both NO2 concentration (-41.6%) and mortality rate (-27.1%) under population growth (+41.0%) and age structure transition (+0.9%).Our findings provide national evidence for increased risk of premature death and loss of life expectancy attributed to later-life NO2 exposure among the elderly in China. In an accelerated aging society, strengthened clean air actions should be formulated to minimize the health burden and regional inequality in NO2-attributable mortality.Copyright © 2024 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

基金:
语种:
PubmedID:
中科院(CAS)分区:
出版当年[2023]版:
大类 | 2 区 环境科学与生态学
小类 | 1 区 毒理学 2 区 环境科学
最新[2023]版:
大类 | 2 区 环境科学与生态学
小类 | 1 区 毒理学 2 区 环境科学
第一作者:
第一作者机构: [1]Institute of Social Development and Health Management, Hubei Province Key Laboratory of Occupational Hazard Identification and Control, School of Public Health, Wuhan University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430065, China
共同第一作者:
通讯作者:
通讯机构: [5]China Center for Health Development Studies, Peking University, Beijing 100191, China [6]Center for Healthy Aging and Development Studies, National School of Development, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China
推荐引用方式(GB/T 7714):
APA:
MLA:

资源点击量:43378 今日访问量:0 总访问量:3120 更新日期:2024-09-01 建议使用谷歌、火狐浏览器 常见问题

版权所有©2020 四川省肿瘤医院 技术支持:重庆聚合科技有限公司 地址:成都市人民南路四段55号