BackgroundHypocalcemia has been shown to be involved in the adverse outcomes of acute pulmonary embolism (APE). We aimed to determine the incremental value of adding hypocalcemia, defined as serum calcium level <= 2.12 mmol/L, on top of the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) prognostic algorithm, for the prediction of in-hospital mortality in APE patients, which in turn could lead to the optimization of APE management.MethodsThis study was conducted at West China Hospital of Sichuan University from January 2016 to December 2019. Patients with APE were retrospectively analyzed and divided into 2 groups based on serum calcium levels. Associations between hypocalcemia and adverse outcomes were assessed by Cox analysis. The accuracy of risk stratification for in-hospital mortality was assessed with the addition of serum calcium to the current ESC prognostic algorithm.ResultsAmong 803 patients diagnosed with APE, 338 (42.1%) patients had serum calcium levels <= 2.12 mmol/L. Hypocalcemia was significantly associated with higher in-hospital and 2-year all-cause mortality compared to the control group. The addition of serum calcium to ESC risk stratification enhanced net reclassification improvement. Low-risk group with serum calcium level > 2.12 mmol/L had a 0% mortality rate, improving the negative predictive value up to 100%, while high-risk group with serum calcium level <= 2.12 mmol/L indicated a higher mortality of 25%.ConclusionOur study identified serum calcium as a novel predictor of mortality in patients with APE. In the future, serum calcium may be added to the commonly used ESC prognostic algorithm for better risk stratification of patients suffering from APE.
基金:
National Natural Science Foundation of China [82170013]; Sichuan Science and Technology Program [2022YFS0262]; National Key Research Program of China [2016YFC1304202]
第一作者机构:[1]Sichuan Univ, Dept Resp & Crit Care Med, West China Hosp, Chengdu, Sichuan, Peoples R China
通讯作者:
通讯机构:[1]Sichuan Univ, Dept Resp & Crit Care Med, West China Hosp, Chengdu, Sichuan, Peoples R China[2]UESTC, Canc Hosp Affiliate Sch Med, Sichuan Canc Hosp & Inst, Sichuan Canc Ctr, Chengdu, Sichuan, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式(GB/T 7714):
Zhang Jiarui,Ali Adila,Liu Yu,et al.Additive prognostic value of serum calcium to the ESC risk stratification in patients with acute pulmonary embolism[J].THROMBOSIS JOURNAL.2023,21(1):doi:10.1186/s12959-023-00461-y.
APA:
Zhang, Jiarui,Ali, Adila,Liu, Yu,Peng, Lige,Pu, Jiaqi...&Zhou, Haixia.(2023).Additive prognostic value of serum calcium to the ESC risk stratification in patients with acute pulmonary embolism.THROMBOSIS JOURNAL,21,(1)
MLA:
Zhang, Jiarui,et al."Additive prognostic value of serum calcium to the ESC risk stratification in patients with acute pulmonary embolism".THROMBOSIS JOURNAL 21..1(2023)