高级检索
当前位置: 首页 > 详情页

Epidemiologic Trends of and Factors Associated With Overall Survival for Patients With Gastroenteropancreatic Neuroendocrine Tumors in the United States.

文献详情

资源类型:
Pubmed体系:
机构: [1]Lung Cancer Center, Cancer Center and State Key Laboratory of Biotherapy, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China. [2]Cancer Institute of People's Liberation Army, Xinqiao Hospital, Army Medical University, Chongqing, People's Republic of China.
出处:

摘要:
Although the incidence and prevalence of gastroenteropancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (GEP-NETs) have been thought to have increased during the past decades, updated epidemiologic and survival data are lacking.To conduct an epidemiologic and survival analysis of the largest cohort of patients with GEP-NETs using the latest data and to establish a novel nomogram to predict the survival probability of individual patients with GEP-NETs.In this cohort study, 43 751 patients with GEP-NETs diagnosed from January 1, 1975, to December 31, 2015, were identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program. Associated data were used for epidemiologic and survival analysis, as well as the establishment and validation of a nomogram to predict the survival probability of individual patients with GEP-NETs. The study cutoff date was December 31, 2018. Statistical analysis was performed from February 1 to April 30, 2020.Incidence, factors associated with overall survival, and a nomogram model for patients with GEP-NETs.A total of 43 751 patients received a diagnosis of GEP-NETs from 1975 to 2015 (22 398 women [51.2%], 31 976 White patients [73.1%], 7097 Black patients [16.2%], 3207 Asian and Pacific Islander patients [7.3%], 270 American Indian and Alaska Native patients [0.6%], and 4546 patients of unknown race [10.4%]; mean [SD] age at diagnosis, 58 [15] years). The age-adjusted incidence rate of GEP-NETs increased 6.4-fold from 1975 to 2015 (annual percentage change [APC], 4.98; 95% CI, 4.75-5.20; P < .001). Furthermore, among site groups, the incidence of GEP-NETs in the rectum increased most significantly (APC, 6.43; 95% CI, 5.65-7.23; P < .001). As for stage and grade, the incidence increased the most in localized GEP-NETs (APC, 6.53; 95% CI, 6.08-6.97; P < .001) and G1 GEP-NETs (APC, 18.93; 95% CI, 17.44-20.43; P < .001). During the study period, the mean age at diagnosis for localized disease increased by 9.0 years (95% CI, 3.3-14.7 years; P = .002), which remained unchanged for regional and distant cases. On multivariable analyses, age, sex, marital status, and tumor size, grade, stage, and site were significantly associated with overall survival for patients with GEP-NETs (eg, patients with distant vs localized disease: hazard ratio, 10.32; 95% CI, 8.56-12.43; G4 vs G1 GEP-NET: hazard ratio, 6.37; 95% CI, 5.39-7.53). Furthermore, a nomogram comprising age, size, grade, stage, and site was established to predict the 3-year and 5-year survival probability, with the concordance indexes of 0.893 (95% CI, 0.883-0.903) for the internal validations and 0.880 (95% CI, 0.866-0.894) for the external validations. The receiver operating characteristic curve demonstrated that the nomogram exhibited better discrimination power than TNM classification (area under the curve for 3-year overall survival, 0.908 vs 0.795; for 5-year overall survival, 0.893 vs 0.791).In this study, the incidence and prevalence of GEP-NETs have continued to increase over 40 years, especially among patients with rectal GEP-NETs. In addition, this study suggests that a nomogram with 5 prognostic parameters may accurately quantify the risk of death among patients with GEP-NETs, indicating that it has satisfactory clinical practicality.

语种:
PubmedID:
中科院(CAS)分区:
出版当年[2021]版:
大类 | 1 区 医学
小类 | 1 区 医学:内科
最新[2023]版:
大类 | 1 区 医学
小类 | 1 区 医学:内科
第一作者:
第一作者机构: [1]Lung Cancer Center, Cancer Center and State Key Laboratory of Biotherapy, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.
通讯作者:
通讯机构: [1]Lung Cancer Center, Cancer Center and State Key Laboratory of Biotherapy, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China. [2]Cancer Institute of People's Liberation Army, Xinqiao Hospital, Army Medical University, Chongqing, People's Republic of China. [*1]Department of Oncology, Xinqiao Hospital, Army Medical University, Chongqing, China [*2]Lung Cancer Center, Cancer Center and State Key Laboratory of Biotherapy,West China Hospital of Sichuan University, No. 37 Guo Xue Alley, Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, China
推荐引用方式(GB/T 7714):
APA:
MLA:

资源点击量:43377 今日访问量:0 总访问量:3120 更新日期:2024-09-01 建议使用谷歌、火狐浏览器 常见问题

版权所有©2020 四川省肿瘤医院 技术支持:重庆聚合科技有限公司 地址:成都市人民南路四段55号