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Development and Validation of a Polygenic Risk Score for Stroke in the Chinese Population.

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机构: [1]Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Epidemiology & Department of Epidemiology, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing 100037, China [2]Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Center for Global Health, School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing 211166, China [3]Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Shenzhen University Health Science Center, Shenzhen, Guangdong 518060, China [4]Cardio-Cerebrovascular Control and Research Center, Institute of Basic Medicine, Shandong First Medical University (Shandong Academy of Medical Sciences), Jinan 250062, China [5]Tianjin Key Laboratory of Environment, Nutrition and Public Health, Department of Occupational and Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin 300070, China [6]Division of Epidemiology, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital and Cardiovascular Institute, Guangzhou 510080, China [7]Department of Neurology, Affiliated Yixing People's Hospital of Jiangsu University, People's Hospital of Yixing City, Yixing 214200, China [8]Department of Cardiology, Fujian Provincial Hospital, Fuzhou 350014, China [9]Center for Chronic and Noncommunicable Disease Control and Prevention, Sichuan Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Chengdu 610041, China [10]Center for Genetic Epidemiology and Genomics, School of Public Health and Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Preventive and Translational Medicine for Geriatric Diseases, Medical College of Soochow University, Suzhou 215123, China [11]Research Unit of Prospective Cohort of Cardiovascular Diseases and Cancer, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences (2019RU038) [12]Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA [13]Department of Human Genetics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA
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To construct a polygenic risk score (PRS) for stroke and evaluate its utility in risk stratification and primary prevention for stroke. Using meta-analytic approach and large genome-wide association results for stroke and stroke-related traits in East Asians, we generated a combined PRS (metaPRS) by incorporating 534 genetic variants in a training set of 2,872 patients with stroke and 2,494 controls. We then validated its association with incident stroke using Cox regression models in large Chinese population-based prospective cohorts comprising 41,006 individuals. During a total of 367,750 person-years (mean follow-up 9.0 years), 1,227 participants developed stroke before age of 80 years. Individuals with high polygenic risk had an about 2-fold higher risk of incident stroke compared with those with low polygenic risk (HR: 1.99, 95% CI: 1.66-2.38), with the lifetime risk of stroke being 25.2% (95% CI: 22.5%-27.7%) and 13.6% (95% CI: 11.6%-15.5%), respectively. Individuals with both high polygenic risk and family history displayed the lifetime risk as high as 41.1% (95% CI: 31.4%-49.5%). Moreover, individuals with high polygenic risk achieved greater benefits in terms of absolute risk reductions from adherence to ideal fasting blood glucose and total cholesterol than those with low polygenic risk. Maintaining favorable cardiovascular health (CVH) profile could substantially mitigate the increased risk conferred by high polygenic risk to the level of the low polygenic risk (from 34.6 % to 13.2%). Our metaPRS has great potential for risk stratification of stroke and identification of individuals who may benefit more from maintaining ideal CVH. This study provides Class I evidence that a meta-polygenic risk score is predictive of stroke risk. © 2021 American Academy of Neurology.

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大类 | 1 区 医学
小类 | 1 区 临床神经病学
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大类 | 1 区 医学
小类 | 1 区 临床神经病学
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Q1 CLINICAL NEUROLOGY
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Q1 CLINICAL NEUROLOGY

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第一作者机构: [1]Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Epidemiology & Department of Epidemiology, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing 100037, China
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