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Exploring causality in the association between circulating 25-hydroxyvitamin D and colorectal cancer risk: a large Mendelian randomisation study.

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机构: [1]Colon Cancer Genetics Group, Medical Research Council Human GeneticsUnit, Medical Research Council Institute of Genetics & Molecular Medicine,Western General Hospital, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH4 2XU,UK [2]West China School of Medicine/West China Hospital, Sichuan University,Chengdu 610041, People’s Republic of China [3]Centre for Global HealthResearch, Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, TheUniversity of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH8 9AG, UK [4]Department of PublicHealth and Primary Care, Institute of Population Health, Trinity CollegeDublin, University of Dublin, Dublin 24, D02 PN40, Ireland [5]Program inGenetic Epidemiology and Statistical Genetics. Department of Epidemiology,Harvard T.H.Chan School of Public Health, 677 Huntington Avenue, Boston,MA 02115, USA [6]Unit of Cardiovascular Epidemiology, Institute ofEnvironmental Medicine, Karolinska Institutet, Nobels vagen 13, Stockholm17177, Sweden [7]Australian Centre for Precision Health, University of SouthAustralia Cancer Research Institute, University of South Australia, Adelaide, SA5001, Australia [8]Population, Policy and Practice, University College London,Great Ormond Street, Institute of Child Health, WC1E 6BT, London, UK [9]Institute for Aging Research, Hebrew SeniorLife, 1200 Centre Street, Boston,MA 02131, USA [10]Department of Medicine, Beth Israel Deaconess MedicalCenter and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA 02115, USA [11]Broad Instituteof Harvard and Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Boston, MA 02142,USA [12]MRC Human Genetics Unit, MRC Institute of Genetics & MolecularMedicine, The University of Edinburgh, Western General Hospital, EdinburghEH4 2XU, UK [13]Generation Scotland, Institute of Genetics and MolecularMedicine, The University of Edinburgh, Western General Hospital Edinburgh,Crewe Road, Edinburgh EH4 2XU, UK [14]Agency for Medicinal Products andMedical Devices, Department for Quality, Safety and Efficacy Assessment,Zagreb, Croatia [15]Department of Surgical Oncology, University Hospital forTumours, Sestre milosrdnice University Hospital Centre, Zagreb, Croatia [16]School of Medicine, University of Zagreb, Zagreb, Croatia [17]Centre forCognitive Ageing and Cognitive Epidemiology, The University of Edinburgh,Edinburgh, UK [18]Centre for Genomic and Experimental Medicine, Institute ofGenetics and Molecular Medicine, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh,UK [19]Department of Psychology, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK [20]Division of Genetics and Epidemiology, The Institute of Cancer Research,Sutton, Surrey SM2 5NG, UK [21]Institute of Cancer and Genomic Sciences,University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.
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Whilst observational studies establish that lower plasma 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25-OHD) levels are associated with higher risk of colorectal cancer (CRC), establishing causality has proven challenging. Since vitamin D is modifiable, these observations have substantial clinical and public health implications. Indeed, many health agencies already recommend supplemental vitamin D. Here, we explore causality in a large Mendelian randomisation (MR) study using an improved genetic instrument for circulating 25-OHD. We developed a weighted genetic score for circulating 25-OHD using six genetic variants that we recently reported to be associated with circulating 25-OHD in a large genome-wide association study (GWAS) meta-analysis. Using this score as instrumental variable in MR analyses, we sought to determine whether circulating 25-OHD is causally linked with CRC risk. We conducted MR analysis using individual-level data from 10,725 CRC cases and 30,794 controls (Scotland, UK Biobank and Croatia). We then applied estimates from meta-analysis of 11 GWAS of CRC risk (18,967 cases; 48,168 controls) in a summary statistics MR approach. The new genetic score for 25-OHD was strongly associated with measured plasma 25-OHD levels in 2821 healthy Scottish controls (P = 1.47 × 10- 11), improving upon previous genetic instruments (F-statistic 46.0 vs. 13.0). However, individual-level MR revealed no association between 25-OHD score and CRC risk (OR 1.03/unit log-transformed circulating 25-OHD, 95% CI 0.51-2.07, P = 0.93). Similarly, we found no evidence for a causal relationship between 25-OHD and CRC risk using summary statistics MR analysis (OR 0.91, 95% CI 0.69-1.19, P = 0.48). Despite the scale of this study and employing an improved score capturing more of the genetic contribution to circulating 25-OHD, we found no evidence for a causal relationship between circulating 25-OHD and CRC risk. Although the magnitude of effect for vitamin D suggested by observational studies can confidently be excluded, smaller effects sizes and non-linear relationships remain plausible. Circulating vitamin D may be a CRC biomarker, but a causal effect on CRC risk remains unproven.

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出版当年[2018]版:
大类 | 1 区 医学
小类 | 2 区 医学:内科
最新[2023]版:
大类 | 1 区 医学
小类 | 1 区 医学:内科
第一作者:
第一作者机构: [1]Colon Cancer Genetics Group, Medical Research Council Human GeneticsUnit, Medical Research Council Institute of Genetics & Molecular Medicine,Western General Hospital, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH4 2XU,UK [2]West China School of Medicine/West China Hospital, Sichuan University,Chengdu 610041, People’s Republic of China [3]Centre for Global HealthResearch, Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, TheUniversity of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH8 9AG, UK
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通讯机构: [1]Colon Cancer Genetics Group, Medical Research Council Human GeneticsUnit, Medical Research Council Institute of Genetics & Molecular Medicine,Western General Hospital, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH4 2XU,UK [3]Centre for Global HealthResearch, Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, TheUniversity of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH8 9AG, UK
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