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A Recurrence Predictive Model for Thymic Tumors and Its Implication for Postoperative Management: a Chinese Alliance for Research in Thymomas Database Study

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机构: [1]Department of Radiation Oncology, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, State KeyLaboratory of Oncology in South China, Collaborative Innovation Center of CancerMedicine, Guangzhou, China [2]Department of Thoracic Surgery, Shanghai Chest Hospital, Shanghai Jiao TongUniversity, Shanghai, China [3]Department of Thoracic Surgery, Yale Cancer Center, USA [4]Department of Laboratory Medicine and Pathology, Mayo Clinic Rochester, MN, USA [5]Department of Thoracic Surgery, University of Torino, Italy [6]Department of General Thoracic Surgery, Osaka University, Japan [7]Thorax Institute Curie Montsouris, Institut Curie, Paris, France [8]Department of Thoracic Surgery and Lung Transplantation, First Affiliated Hospital,School of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China [9]School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China [10]Department of Thoracic Surgery, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, State KeyLaboratory of Oncology in South China, Collaborative Innovation Center of CancerMedicine, Guangzhou, China [11]Department of Endocrinology, Tianjin Medical University General Hospital, Tianjin,China [12]Department of Thoracic Surgery, Huashan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai,China [13]Department of Thoracic Surgery, Beijing Cancer Hospital, Beijing, China [14]Department of Thoracic Surgery, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu,China [15]Department of Esophageal Cancer, Tianjin Cancer Hospital, Tianjin, China
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关键词: Thymic epithelial tumors Recurrence predictive model Postoperative management Postoperative surveillance

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Objective: Our aim was to investigate appropriate postoperative management based on the risk of disease recurrence in thymic epithelial tumors after complete resection. Methods: The Chinese Alliance for Research in Thymomas retrospective database was reviewed. Patients having stage I to IIIa tumors without pretreatment and with complete resection were included. Clinicopathologic variables with statistical significance in the multivariate Cox regression were incorporated into a nomogram for building a recurrence predictive model. Results: A total of 907 cases, including 802 thymomas, 88 thymic carcinomas, and 17 neuroendocrine tumors, were retrieved between 1994 and 2012. With a median follow-up of 52 months, the 10-year overall survival rate was 89.5%. Distant and/or locoregional recurrences were noted in 53 patients (5.8%). The nomogram model revealed histologic type and T stage as independent predictive factors for recurrence, with a bootstrap-corrected C-index of 0.86. On the basis of this model, patients with T1 thymomas or T2 or T3 type A, AB, or B1 thymomas had a significantly lower incidence of recurrence (low-risk group) than those with T2 or T3 type B2 or B3 thymomas and all thymic carcinomas and neuroendocrine tumors (high-risk group) (2.7% versus 20.1% [p < 0.001]). In the high-risk group, more than half of the recurrences (55.2% [16 of 29]) were seen within the first 3 postoperative years, whereas all recurrences but one were recorded within 6 years after surgery. Recurrence occurred quite evenly over 10 postoperative years in the low-risk group. Conclusions: A 6-year active surveillance should be considered in high-risk patients regardless of adjuvant therapy. For low-risk patients, annual follow-up may be sufficient. Studies examining postoperative adjuvant therapies would be plausible in high-risk patients. (C) 2019 International Association for the Study of Lung Cancer. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

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出版当年[2020]版:
大类 | 1 区 医学
小类 | 1 区 肿瘤学 1 区 呼吸系统
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大类 | 1 区 医学
小类 | 1 区 肿瘤学 1 区 呼吸系统
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出版当年[2020]版:
Q1 RESPIRATORY SYSTEM Q1 ONCOLOGY
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Q1 ONCOLOGY Q1 RESPIRATORY SYSTEM

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第一作者机构: [1]Department of Radiation Oncology, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, State KeyLaboratory of Oncology in South China, Collaborative Innovation Center of CancerMedicine, Guangzhou, China
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通讯机构: [2]Department of Thoracic Surgery, Shanghai Chest Hospital, Shanghai Jiao TongUniversity, Shanghai, China [*1]Department of Thoracic Surgery,Shanghai Chest Hospital,Shanghai Jiao Tong University Medical School,241 Huaihai Road West, Shanghai 200030, China
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