机构:[1]Laboratory of Molecular Diagnosis of Cancer & Breast Medical Oncology, Clinical Research Center for Breast, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China四川大学华西医院[2]Department of Radiation Oncology, Sichuan Cancer Hospital & Institute, Sichuan Cancer Center, School of Medicine, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China四川省人民医院四川省肿瘤医院
Purpose: A nomogram is a reliable tool to generate individualized risk prediction by combining prognostic factors. We aimed to construct a nomogram for predicting the survival in patients with non-metastatic human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) positive breast cancer in a prospective cohort. Methods: We analyzed 1304 consecutive patients who were diagnosed with non-metastatic HER2 positive breast cancer between January 2008 and December 2016 in our institution. Independent prognostic factors were identified to build a nomogram using the COX proportional hazard regression model. The prediction of the nomogram was evaluated by concordance index (C-index), calibration and subgroup analysis. External validation was performed in a cohort of 6379 patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Results: Through the COX proportional hazard regression model, five independent prognostic factors were identified. The nomogram predicting overall survival achieved a C-index of 0.78 in the training cohort and 0.74 in the SEER cohort. The calibration plot displayed favorable accordance between the nomogram prediction and the actual observation for 3-year overall survival in both cohorts. The quartiles of the nomogram score classified patients into subgroups with distinct overall survival. Conclusion: We developed and validated a novel nomogram for predicting overall survival in patients with non-metastatic HER2 positive breast cancer, which presented a favorable discrimination ability. This model may assist clinical decision making and patient-clinician communication in clinical practice.
第一作者机构:[1]Laboratory of Molecular Diagnosis of Cancer & Breast Medical Oncology, Clinical Research Center for Breast, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
通讯作者:
通讯机构:[1]Laboratory of Molecular Diagnosis of Cancer & Breast Medical Oncology, Clinical Research Center for Breast, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China[*1]Laboratory of Molecular Diagnosis of Cancer & Breast Medical Oncology, Clinical Research Center for Breast, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, 37 Guoxuexiang, Wuhou District, Chengdu 610041, China.
推荐引用方式(GB/T 7714):
Luo Chuanxu,Zhong Xiaorong,Wang Zhu,et al.Prognostic nomogram for patients with non-metastatic HER2 positive breast cancer in a prospective cohort[J].INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOLOGICAL MARKERS.2019,34(1):41-46.doi:10.1177/1724600818824786.
APA:
Luo, Chuanxu,Zhong, Xiaorong,Wang, Zhu,Wang, Yu,Wang, Yanping...&Zheng, Hong.(2019).Prognostic nomogram for patients with non-metastatic HER2 positive breast cancer in a prospective cohort.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOLOGICAL MARKERS,34,(1)
MLA:
Luo, Chuanxu,et al."Prognostic nomogram for patients with non-metastatic HER2 positive breast cancer in a prospective cohort".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOLOGICAL MARKERS 34..1(2019):41-46