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Prognostic nomogram for patients with non-metastatic HER2 positive breast cancer in a prospective cohort

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机构: [1]Laboratory of Molecular Diagnosis of Cancer & Breast Medical Oncology, Clinical Research Center for Breast, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China [2]Department of Radiation Oncology, Sichuan Cancer Hospital & Institute, Sichuan Cancer Center, School of Medicine, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China
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关键词: Breast cancer HER2 positive survival nomogram

摘要:
Purpose: A nomogram is a reliable tool to generate individualized risk prediction by combining prognostic factors. We aimed to construct a nomogram for predicting the survival in patients with non-metastatic human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) positive breast cancer in a prospective cohort. Methods: We analyzed 1304 consecutive patients who were diagnosed with non-metastatic HER2 positive breast cancer between January 2008 and December 2016 in our institution. Independent prognostic factors were identified to build a nomogram using the COX proportional hazard regression model. The prediction of the nomogram was evaluated by concordance index (C-index), calibration and subgroup analysis. External validation was performed in a cohort of 6379 patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Results: Through the COX proportional hazard regression model, five independent prognostic factors were identified. The nomogram predicting overall survival achieved a C-index of 0.78 in the training cohort and 0.74 in the SEER cohort. The calibration plot displayed favorable accordance between the nomogram prediction and the actual observation for 3-year overall survival in both cohorts. The quartiles of the nomogram score classified patients into subgroups with distinct overall survival. Conclusion: We developed and validated a novel nomogram for predicting overall survival in patients with non-metastatic HER2 positive breast cancer, which presented a favorable discrimination ability. This model may assist clinical decision making and patient-clinician communication in clinical practice.

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出版当年[2019]版:
大类 | 4 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 生物工程与应用微生物 4 区 肿瘤学
最新[2023]版:
大类 | 4 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 生物工程与应用微生物 4 区 肿瘤学
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出版当年[2019]版:
Q4 ONCOLOGY Q4 BIOTECHNOLOGY & APPLIED MICROBIOLOGY
最新[2023]版:
Q3 BIOTECHNOLOGY & APPLIED MICROBIOLOGY Q3 ONCOLOGY

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2019版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2018版] 出版后一年[2020版]

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第一作者机构: [1]Laboratory of Molecular Diagnosis of Cancer & Breast Medical Oncology, Clinical Research Center for Breast, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
通讯作者:
通讯机构: [1]Laboratory of Molecular Diagnosis of Cancer & Breast Medical Oncology, Clinical Research Center for Breast, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China [*1]Laboratory of Molecular Diagnosis of Cancer & Breast Medical Oncology, Clinical Research Center for Breast, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, 37 Guoxuexiang, Wuhou District, Chengdu 610041, China.
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