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Survival impact of waiting time for radical radiotherapy in nasopharyngeal carcinoma: A large institution-based cohort study from an endemic area

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机构: [1]Sun Yat Sen Univ, Ctr Canc, State Key Lab Oncol South China, Guangzhou, Guangdong, Peoples R China; [2]Sun Yat Sen Univ, Ctr Canc, Dept Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma, 651 Dongfeng Rd East, Guangzhou 510060, Guangdong, Peoples R China; [3]East Carolina Univ, Vidant Med Ctr, Greenville, NC USA; [4]Sun Yat Sen Univ, Ctr Canc, Dept Epidemiol, Guangzhou, Guangdong, Peoples R China; [5]Sun Yat Sen Univ, Sun Yat Sen Mem Hosp, Guangzhou, Guangdong, Peoples R China; [6]Sun Yat Sen Univ, Ctr Canc, Dept Med Informat, Guangzhou, Guangdong, Peoples R China; [7]Sun Yat Sen Univ, Sch Math, Southern China Ctr Stat Sci, Guangzhou, Guangdong, Peoples R China
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关键词: Survival Waiting time Radical radiotherapy Nasopharyngeal carcinoma Weibull analysis Propensity score analysis Recursive partitioning analysis Sensitivity analysis ASARA

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Background: Whether the waiting time for radical radiotherapy (WRT) detrimentally impacts nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) prognosis is unclear. We estimated the influence of WRT on overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS) of NPC. Patients and methods: Patients were identified from prospectively maintained database. WRT was calculated from histological diagnosis to initiation of radiotherapy (RT). Survival analysis was estimated using Weibull parametric model and propensity score analysis (PSA). Recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) identified optimal WRT threshold via conditional inference trees to estimate the greatest survival differences based on randomly selected training and validation sets, and this process was repeated 1000 times to ensure threshold robustness. Sensitivity analysis estimated effects of potential unmeasured confounders. Results: A total of 9896 patients were included. In multivariate analysis, WRT of 31-60 degrees d, of 61-90 d and of greater than 90 degrees d independently increased mortality risk compared to less than 30 degrees d. Upon RPA, ranges of 30-35 degrees d with the peak of 30 degrees d were confirmed with 89% of simulations validating optimal thresholds. In threshold-based groups, adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for WRT of greater than 30 degrees d by both Weibull model and PSA were significantly higher than for WRT of less than 30 degrees d [OS: HR = 1.13, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.04-1.23, P = 0.003; DSS: HR = 1.15, 95% CI 1.05-1.26, P = 0.002]. Sensitivity analysis revealed robustness of results. Conclusions: WRT independently affects survival. Increasing WRT beyond 30 d was most consistently detrimental to survival. WRT of NPC should be as short as reasonably achievable (ASARA). (C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

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出版当年[2017]版:
大类 | 2 区 医学
小类 | 2 区 肿瘤学
最新[2023]版:
大类 | 1 区 医学
小类 | 2 区 肿瘤学
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第一作者机构: [1]Sun Yat Sen Univ, Ctr Canc, State Key Lab Oncol South China, Guangzhou, Guangdong, Peoples R China; [2]Sun Yat Sen Univ, Ctr Canc, Dept Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma, 651 Dongfeng Rd East, Guangzhou 510060, Guangdong, Peoples R China;
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通讯机构: [1]Sun Yat Sen Univ, Ctr Canc, State Key Lab Oncol South China, Guangzhou, Guangdong, Peoples R China; [2]Sun Yat Sen Univ, Ctr Canc, Dept Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma, 651 Dongfeng Rd East, Guangzhou 510060, Guangdong, Peoples R China;
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