高级检索
当前位置: 首页 > 详情页

Global Incidence of Gastric Cancer by Age and Subtype with Age-Period-Cohort Analysis from 1988 to 2017 and Predictions to 2032

文献详情

资源类型:
WOS体系:
Pubmed体系:

收录情况: ◇ SCIE

机构: [1]Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, West China School of Public Health and West China Fourth Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China. [2]Health Care Department, Chengdu Women’s and Children’s Central Hospital, School of Medicine, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu, China. [3]Sichuan Cancer Hospital & Institute, Sichuan Cancer Center, School of Medicine, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu, China.
出处:
ISSN:

摘要:
Background: Globally, gastric cancer incidence trends and risk factors vary by age group and subtype, cardia gastric cancer (CGC) and non-cardia gastric cancer (NCGC). However, in-depth temporal studies are lacking.Methods: Using data from Cancer Incidence in Five Continents volumes VII to XII for 25 countries, we applied the joinpoint regression to assess trends in the age-standardized incidence rate. The age-period-cohort analysis yielded cohort effects, and the Bayesian age-period-cohort analysis generated predictions.Results: We observed declines in NCGC incidence and cohort effect between 1988 and 2017 in most countries. However, increasing trends in subpopulations in China, the United States, and New Zealand warrant attention. Notably, NCGC incidence among females under the age of 50 years (defined as the "young population" in this study) was higher than for males in 22 countries, which is contrary to previous reports showing a higher incidence in males in the whole population. CGC incidence trends were diverse, with notable increases in the overall and/or younger populations in some countries. Projections to 2032 suggest that CGC and NCGC incidences will converge, notably in males across 12 countries-nine for the whole male population and 10 for the young males.Conclusions: Long-term incidence trends of CGC and NCGC, combined with cohort effects, reveal global shifts in incidence and risk factors, with an increasing incidence of CGC and higher NCGC rates in young females compared with males.Impact: This study underscores changing gastric cancer trends in young populations, emphasizing the need for targeted screening and risk factor investigation.

语种:
WOS:
PubmedID:
中科院(CAS)分区:
出版当年[2025]版:
大类 | 2 区 医学
小类 | 2 区 公共卫生、环境卫生与职业卫生 3 区 肿瘤学
最新[2025]版:
大类 | 2 区 医学
小类 | 2 区 公共卫生、环境卫生与职业卫生 3 区 肿瘤学
JCR分区:
出版当年[2024]版:
Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Q2 ONCOLOGY
最新[2024]版:
Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Q2 ONCOLOGY

影响因子: 最新[2024版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2024版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2024版]

第一作者:
第一作者机构: [1]Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, West China School of Public Health and West China Fourth Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
通讯作者:
推荐引用方式(GB/T 7714):
APA:
MLA:

资源点击量:65780 今日访问量:0 总访问量:5151 更新日期:2025-12-01 建议使用谷歌、火狐浏览器 常见问题

版权所有©2020 四川省肿瘤医院 技术支持:重庆聚合科技有限公司 地址:成都市人民南路四段55号