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Develop prediction model to help forecast advanced prostate cancer patients' prognosis after surgery using neural network

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机构: [1]Department of Clinical Laboratory, The Seventh Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing, China. [2]Cancer Research Center, Beijing Chest Hospital, Capital Medical University/Beijing Tuberculosis and Thoracic Tumor Research Institute, Beijing, China. [3]Dermatology Department, General Hospital of Western Theater Command, Chengdu, Sichuan, China. [4]Department of Biochemistry, School of Medicine/Key Laboratory of Xinjiang Ministry of Education, Shihezi University, Shihezi, Xinjiang, China. [5]Urinary Surgery Department, The First People's Hospital of Ziyang, Ziyang, Sichuan, China. [6]Chengdu Eighth People's Hospital, Chengdu, Sichuan, China. [7]General Department, Beijing Chest Hospital, Capital Medical University/Beijing Tuberculosis and Thoracic Tumor Research Institute, Tongzhou District, Beijing, China.
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关键词: prediction model prostate cancer prognosis surgery neural network deep learning

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The effect of surgery on advanced prostate cancer (PC) is unclear and predictive model for postoperative survival is lacking yet.We investigate the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, to collect clinical features of advanced PC patients. According to clinical experience, age, race, grade, pathology, T, N, M, stage, size, regional nodes positive, regional nodes examined, surgery, radiotherapy, chemotherapy, history of malignancy, clinical Gleason score (composed of needle core biopsy or transurethral resection of the prostate specimens), pathological Gleason score (composed of prostatectomy specimens) and prostate-specific antigen (PSA) are the potential predictive variables. All samples are divided into train cohort (70% of total, for model training) and test cohort (30% of total, for model validation) by random sampling. We then develop neural network to predict advanced PC patients' overall. Area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) is used to evaluate model's performance.6380 patients, diagnosed with advanced (stage III-IV) prostate cancer and receiving surgery, have been included. The model using all collected clinical features as predictors and based on neural network algorithm performs best, which scores 0.7058 AUC (95% CIs, 0.7021-0.7068) in train cohort and 0.6925 AUC (95% CIs, 0.6906-0.6956) in test cohort. We then package it into a Windows 64-bit software.Patients with advanced prostate cancer may benefit from surgery. In order to forecast their overall survival, we first build a clinical features-based prognostic model. This model is accuracy and may offer some reference on clinical decision making.Copyright © 2024 Li, Cai, Huang, Li, Shi, Zhang, Jiao, Li and Pan.

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出版当年[2023]版:
大类 | 2 区 医学
小类 | 2 区 内分泌学与代谢
最新[2023]版:
大类 | 2 区 医学
小类 | 2 区 内分泌学与代谢
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第一作者机构: [1]Department of Clinical Laboratory, The Seventh Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing, China.
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