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Developing a predictive nomogram and web-based survival calculator for locally advanced hypopharyngeal cancer: A propensity score-adjusted population-based study

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机构: [1]Southwest Med Univ, Affiliated Hosp, Dept Oncol, Luzhou, Peoples R China [2]Univ Elect Sci & Technol China, Sichuan Canc Hosp & Inst, Dept Radiat Oncol, Sichuan Canc Ctr,Sch Med,Radiat Oncol Key Lab Sich, Chengdu, Peoples R China [3]Univ Elect Sci & Technol China, Sch Med, Chengdu, Peoples R China [4]Chongqing Med Univ, Coll Publ Hlth, Chongqing, Peoples R China [5]Chongqing Med Univ, Sch Publ Hlth & Management, State Key Lab Ultrasound Med & Engn, Chongqing, Peoples R China [6]Sichuan Univ, West China Hosp, Dept Otolaryngol Head & Neck Surg, Chengdu, Peoples R China [7]Sichuan Univ, West China Hosp, West China Med Sch, Dept Med Oncol,Canc Ctr, Chengdu, Sichuan, Peoples R China
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关键词: Locally advanced hypopharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (LA-HPSCC) nomogram survival surgery-based therapy Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER)

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Understanding the clinical features and accurately predicting the prognosis of patients with locally advanced hypopharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (LA-HPSCC) is important for patient-centered decision making. This study aimed to create a multi-factor nomogram predictive model and aWeb-based calculator to predict post-therapy survival for patients with LA-HPSCC. A retrospective cohort study analyzing Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database from 2004 to 2015 for patients diagnosed with LA-HPSCC was conducted and randomly divided into a training and a validation group (7:3 ratio). The external validation cohort included 276 patients fromSichuan Cancer Hospital, China. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO)-Cox regression analysis was used to identify independent factors associated with overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS), and nomogram models andWeb-based survival calculators were constructed. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to compare survival with different treatment options. A total of 2526 patients were included in the prognostic model. The median OS and CSS for the entire cohort were 20 (18.6-21.3) months and 24 (21.7-26.2) months, respectively. Nomogrammodels integrating the seven factors demonstrated high predictive accuracy for 3-year and 5-year survival. PSMfound that patients who received surgery-based curative therapy had better OS and CSS than those who received radiotherapy-based treatment (median survival times: 33 months vs 18 months and 40 months vs 22 months, respectively). The nomogram model accurately predicted patient survival from LA-HPSCC. Surgery with adjuvant therapy yielded significantly better survival than definitive radiotherapy and should be prioritized over definitive radiotherapy.

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基金编号: 81771921

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第一作者机构: [1]Southwest Med Univ, Affiliated Hosp, Dept Oncol, Luzhou, Peoples R China [2]Univ Elect Sci & Technol China, Sichuan Canc Hosp & Inst, Dept Radiat Oncol, Sichuan Canc Ctr,Sch Med,Radiat Oncol Key Lab Sich, Chengdu, Peoples R China
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通讯机构: [1]Southwest Med Univ, Affiliated Hosp, Dept Oncol, Luzhou, Peoples R China [2]Univ Elect Sci & Technol China, Sichuan Canc Hosp & Inst, Dept Radiat Oncol, Sichuan Canc Ctr,Sch Med,Radiat Oncol Key Lab Sich, Chengdu, Peoples R China
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