Developing a predictive nomogram and web-based survival calculator for locally advanced hypopharyngeal cancer: A propensity score-adjusted population-based study
机构:[1]Southwest Med Univ, Affiliated Hosp, Dept Oncol, Luzhou, Peoples R China[2]Univ Elect Sci & Technol China, Sichuan Canc Hosp & Inst, Dept Radiat Oncol, Sichuan Canc Ctr,Sch Med,Radiat Oncol Key Lab Sich, Chengdu, Peoples R China四川省肿瘤医院[3]Univ Elect Sci & Technol China, Sch Med, Chengdu, Peoples R China[4]Chongqing Med Univ, Coll Publ Hlth, Chongqing, Peoples R China[5]Chongqing Med Univ, Sch Publ Hlth & Management, State Key Lab Ultrasound Med & Engn, Chongqing, Peoples R China[6]Sichuan Univ, West China Hosp, Dept Otolaryngol Head & Neck Surg, Chengdu, Peoples R China四川大学华西医院[7]Sichuan Univ, West China Hosp, West China Med Sch, Dept Med Oncol,Canc Ctr, Chengdu, Sichuan, Peoples R China四川大学华西医院
Understanding the clinical features and accurately predicting the prognosis of patients with locally advanced hypopharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (LA-HPSCC) is important for patient-centered decision making. This study aimed to create a multi-factor nomogram predictive model and aWeb-based calculator to predict post-therapy survival for patients with LA-HPSCC. A retrospective cohort study analyzing Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database from 2004 to 2015 for patients diagnosed with LA-HPSCC was conducted and randomly divided into a training and a validation group (7:3 ratio). The external validation cohort included 276 patients fromSichuan Cancer Hospital, China. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO)-Cox regression analysis was used to identify independent factors associated with overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS), and nomogram models andWeb-based survival calculators were constructed. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to compare survival with different treatment options. A total of 2526 patients were included in the prognostic model. The median OS and CSS for the entire cohort were 20 (18.6-21.3) months and 24 (21.7-26.2) months, respectively. Nomogrammodels integrating the seven factors demonstrated high predictive accuracy for 3-year and 5-year survival. PSMfound that patients who received surgery-based curative therapy had better OS and CSS than those who received radiotherapy-based treatment (median survival times: 33 months vs 18 months and 40 months vs 22 months, respectively). The nomogram model accurately predicted patient survival from LA-HPSCC. Surgery with adjuvant therapy yielded significantly better survival than definitive radiotherapy and should be prioritized over definitive radiotherapy.
基金:
National Natural Science Foundation of China [81771921]
基金编号:81771921
语种:
外文
被引次数:
WOS:
PubmedID:
第一作者:
第一作者机构:[1]Southwest Med Univ, Affiliated Hosp, Dept Oncol, Luzhou, Peoples R China[2]Univ Elect Sci & Technol China, Sichuan Canc Hosp & Inst, Dept Radiat Oncol, Sichuan Canc Ctr,Sch Med,Radiat Oncol Key Lab Sich, Chengdu, Peoples R China
共同第一作者:
通讯作者:
通讯机构:[1]Southwest Med Univ, Affiliated Hosp, Dept Oncol, Luzhou, Peoples R China[2]Univ Elect Sci & Technol China, Sichuan Canc Hosp & Inst, Dept Radiat Oncol, Sichuan Canc Ctr,Sch Med,Radiat Oncol Key Lab Sich, Chengdu, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式(GB/T 7714):
Chen Sihao,He Shanshan,Wang Dan,et al.Developing a predictive nomogram and web-based survival calculator for locally advanced hypopharyngeal cancer: A propensity score-adjusted population-based study[J].BIOMOLECULES AND BIOMEDICINE.2023,23(5):902-913.doi:10.17305/bb.2023.8978.
APA:
Chen, Sihao,He, Shanshan,Wang, Dan,Liu, Yi,Shao, Shilong...&Zhang, Shichuan.(2023).Developing a predictive nomogram and web-based survival calculator for locally advanced hypopharyngeal cancer: A propensity score-adjusted population-based study.BIOMOLECULES AND BIOMEDICINE,23,(5)
MLA:
Chen, Sihao,et al."Developing a predictive nomogram and web-based survival calculator for locally advanced hypopharyngeal cancer: A propensity score-adjusted population-based study".BIOMOLECULES AND BIOMEDICINE 23..5(2023):902-913