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Construction and validation of a nomogram for HBV-related hepatocellular carcinoma: A large, multicenter study

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机构: [1]Department of Oncology, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, 646000 Luzhou, China. [2]Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, 646000 Luzhou, China. [3]Department of Spinal Surgery, No.1 Orthopedics Hospital of Chengdu, 610000 Chengdu, China. [4]Department of Oncology, Chongqing General Hospital, 401147 Chongqing, China. [5]Clinical Medical College, Southwest Medical University, 646000 Luzhou, China. [6]Department of Oncology, 363 Hospital, 610041 Chengdu, China. [7]Department of Geriatric Cardiology, Sichuan Academy of Medical Sciences & Sichuan Provincial People's Hospital, 610072 Chengdu, China. [8]Department of Radiotherapy, Sichuan Cancer Hospital & Institute, Sichuan Cancer Center, School of Medicine, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, 610042 Chengdu, China. [9]Department of Paediatrics, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, 646000 Luzhou, China. [10]Clinical Research Institute, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, 646000 Luzhou, China. [11]Department of Ophthalmology, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, 646000 Luzhou, China.
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关键词: Hepatitis B virus Hepatocellular carcinoma Nomogram Overall survival

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We initiated this multicenter study to integrate important risk factors to create a nomogram for hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) for clinician decision-making.Between April 2011 and March 2022, 2281 HCC patients with an HBV-related diagnosis were included. All patients were randomly divided into two groups in a ratio of 7:3 (training cohort, n = 1597; validation cohort, n = 684). The nomogram was built in the training cohort via Cox regression model and validated in the validation cohort.Multivariate Cox analyses revealed that the portal vein tumor thrombus, Child-Pugh class, tumor diameter, alanine aminotransferase level, tumor number, extrahepatic metastases, and therapy were independent predictive variables impacting overall survival. We constructed a new nomogram to predict 1-, 2-, and 3-year survival rates based on these factors. The nomogram-related receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curves indicated that the area under the curve (AUC) values were 0.809, 0.806, and 0.764 in predicting 1-, 2-, and 3-year survival rates, respectively. Furthermore, the calibration curves revealed good agreement between real measurements and nomogram predictions. The decision curve analyses (DCA) curves demonstrated excellent therapeutic application potential. In addition, stratified by risk scores, low-risk groups had longer median OS than medium-high-risk groups (p < 0.001).The nomogram we constructed showed good performance in predicting the 1-year survival rate for HBV- related HCC.Copyright © 2023 Fundación Clínica Médica Sur, A.C. Published by Elsevier España, S.L.U. All rights reserved.

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出版当年[2023]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 胃肠肝病学
最新[2023]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 胃肠肝病学
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Q2 GASTROENTEROLOGY & HEPATOLOGY
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Q2 GASTROENTEROLOGY & HEPATOLOGY

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第一作者机构: [1]Department of Oncology, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, 646000 Luzhou, China.
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