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Development and external validation of nomograms for predicting individual survival in patients with ovarian clear cell carcinoma

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机构: [1]Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Ren Ji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China [2]Shanghai Key Laboratory of Gynecologic Oncology, Ren Ji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China [3]Department of Gynecological Oncology, the Affiliated Cancer Hospital, School of Medicine, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Sichuan Cancer Hospital & Institute, Chengdu, China [4]Department of Gynecologic Oncology, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China [5]Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Division of Life Sciences and Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of USTC, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, China [6]State Key Laboratory of Oncogene and Related Genes, Shanghai Cancer Institute, Ren Ji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China
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Ovarian clear cell carcinoma (OCCC) is a distinct and highly malignant subtype of ovarian cancer with high individual heterogeneity in survival that requires specific prognostic predictive tools. Thus, this study aimed to construct and validate nomograms for predicting individual survival in OCCC patients.In total, 91 patients with OCCC who were diagnosed and treated at Renji Hospital between 2010 and 2020 were extracted as the training cohort, then 86 patients from the First Affiliated Hospital of USTC were used as the external validation cohort. Prognostic factors that affect survival were identified using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression. Nomograms of progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were then established with the Cox regression model and the performance was subsequently evaluated using the concordance index (C-index), calibration plots, decision curve analysis (DCA), and risk subgroup classification.Advanced tumor, ascites of >400 mL, lymph node-positive, CA199 of >142.3 IU/mL, and fibrinogen of >5.36 g/L were identified as risk factors for OS while advanced tumor, ascites of >400 mL, lymph node-positive, and fibrinogen of >5.36 g/L were risk factors for PFS. The C-indexes for the OS and PFS nomograms were 0.899 and 0.731 in the training cohort and 0.804 and 0.787 in the validation cohort, respectively. The calibration plots showed that nomograms could provide better consistency in predicting patient survival than the FIGO staging system. DCA also demonstrated that nomograms were more clinically beneficial than the FIGO staging system. Additionally, patients could be classified into two risk groups based on scores using nomograms, with significant survival differences.We developed nomograms that could more objectively and reliably predict the individual survival of patients with OCCC compared with the FIGO staging system. These tools might assist in clinical decision-making and management of patients with OCCC to improve their survival outcomes.© 2023 The Authors. Cancer Medicine published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

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出版当年[2023]版:
大类 | 2 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 肿瘤学
最新[2023]版:
大类 | 2 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 肿瘤学
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出版当年[2023]版:
Q2 ONCOLOGY
最新[2023]版:
Q2 ONCOLOGY

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第一作者机构: [1]Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Ren Ji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China [2]Shanghai Key Laboratory of Gynecologic Oncology, Ren Ji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China [3]Department of Gynecological Oncology, the Affiliated Cancer Hospital, School of Medicine, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Sichuan Cancer Hospital & Institute, Chengdu, China
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通讯机构: [1]Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Ren Ji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China [2]Shanghai Key Laboratory of Gynecologic Oncology, Ren Ji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China [*1]Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Ren Ji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, 160 Pujian Road, Shanghai, China.
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